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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 6, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks40%10499
23Knicks60%10792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.2
38.3
34.4
13
56%
5
2
1
2
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.9
35.6
35.9
20
64%
7
1
2
1
1
1
1
6
6-6
100%
7-13
6-11
54%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.4
22.7
33.6
8
31%
7
3
0
1
1
3
4
3
2-2
100%
3-12
7-13
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.6
17.5
14.7
6
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.2
17.4
7.2
4
41%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.8
30.6
23.0
8
47%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
27.8
31.1
5
28%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
1-5
20%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.9
23.3
4.6
22
73%
5
1
1
0
3
1
4
1
6-7
86%
8-12
1-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.4
16.3
17.4
11
89%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-5
60%
4-4
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 31.6
8.7
9.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.2
1.8
10.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.2
9.3
0
1-2
44%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.5
3.0
0
0-1
45%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.4
33.8
33.9
17
48%
4
6
0
1
0
5
0
4
4-4
100%
5-13
7-15
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.3
28.1
21.8
14
50%
13
1
0
1
1
2
9
4
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
1-4
25%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.7
26.6
21.1
2
20%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.6
22.2
27.4
12
67%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.1
16.1
23.6
0
0%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-3
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.9
31.9
27.2
13
54%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
5-7
71%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
2-5
40%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.1
23.4
20.1
8
52%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.5
20.1
12.9
15
52%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
7-8
88%
4-8
2-4
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
17.5
17.5
5
46%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.6
16.9
18.5
6
60%
5
0
0
1
3
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.9
3.5
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.9
6.8
0
1-2
44%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.