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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 6, 2015
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nuggets10%98104
1Warriors90%116119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.8
39
21
19
8
5
2
1
1
3
0
8
3-3
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
44%
2-4
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.2
34
33
25
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
9-9
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
42%
2-4
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.7
30
29
13
4
5
4
1
1
4
1
3
1-2
50%
6-16
3-8
38%
35%
0-4
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.1
29
25
16
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
39%
2-2
100%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
21
30
8
11
1
0
1
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.7
21
22
10
1
4
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
42%
2-6
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.1
18
17
0
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
39%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
17
14
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
12
16
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
8
4
0
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
7
19
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.1
8
0
1-2
43%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.2
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
35
31
34
7
10
3
2
1
4
0
7
2-3
67%
4-6
4-8
67%
53%
8-16
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
33
34
12
9
8
0
2
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
31
30
21
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
30
29
18
6
5
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
4-8
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.0
18
21
16
7
2
1
0
2
3
3
4
2-4
50%
7-7
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.8
23
27
2
2
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.2
19
17
2
4
2
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
14
15
3
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.9
12
14
6
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-3
33%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.8
10
6
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1-4
25%
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
8
5
0
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
7
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.3
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.9
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.