Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Spurs	20%	106	115	119.8	96	94.7
	6	Heat	80%	118	111	115.6	96	97.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	35.8	10	45%	4	4	2	1	1	2	0	4	6-8	75%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	35.6	21	58%	6	2	0	0	5	1	1	5	7-7	100%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 25	30.4	16	89%	8	2	0	1	4	6	0	8	3-5	60%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Romeo Langford #35 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 23	28.6	19	86%	6	0	1	1	2	3	1	5	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	14.5	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	26.4	18	64%	4	2	3	0	1	1	0	4	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	24.8	13	81%	2	5	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	22.9	3	21%	7	6	0	0	2	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	17.6	8	80%	4	2	0	1	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	3.3	5	83%	4	0	2	0	1	1	2	2	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Alize Johnson #19 · PF · 6'9" 212 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Mid Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	63%	46	24	8	4	18	21	9	37	24-31	77%	35-57	61%	7-21	33%

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30 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	35.8	10	45%	4	4	2	1	1	2	0	4	6-8	75%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	35.6	21	58%	6	2	0	0	5	1	1	5	7-7	100%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 25	30.4	16	89%	8	2	0	1	4	6	0	8	3-5	60%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Romeo Langford #35 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 23	28.6	19	86%	6	0	1	1	2	3	1	5	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	14.5	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	26.4	18	64%	4	2	3	0	1	1	0	4	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	24.8	13	81%	2	5	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	22.9	3	21%	7	6	0	0	2	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	17.6	8	80%	4	2	0	1	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	3.3	5	83%	4	0	2	0	1	1	2	2	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Alize Johnson #19 · PF · 6'9" 212 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Mid Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	63%	46	24	8	4	18	21	9	37	24-31	77%	35-57	61%	7-21	33%

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6 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	39.0	12	86%	3	7	2	0	2	4	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	36.5	23	64%	5	5	1	1	4	1	0	5	2-4	50%	3-8	38%	5-8	63%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	36.4	14	70%	3	1	1	1	0	4	0	3	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	32.3	30	75%	2	4	0	0	2	0	1	1	8-10	80%	11-15	73%	0-1	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	32.3	12	46%	9	4	0	0	0	3	2	7	2-5	40%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	23.4	11	69%	3	3	0	0	1	6	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	15.9	4	40%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	15.7	2	13%	5	1	0	1	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	8.4	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	32	26	5	3	10	22	5	27	20-28	71%	26-47	55%	13-34	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.25 62.5%

MIA

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

16

19

84%

MIA

17

21

81%

Midrange

SAS

19

38

50%

MIA

9

26

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

7

10.5

21

33%

50%

MIA

13

19.5

34

38%

57%

Free Throws

SAS

24

31

77%

MIA

20

28

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	21	58%	10.5 / 18
R. Langford	19	86%	9.5 / 11
D. Vassell	18	64%	9.0 / 14
Z. Collins	16	89%	8.0 / 9
D. McDermott	13	81%	6.5 / 8
T. Jones	10	45%	5.0 / 11
C. Bassey	8	80%	4.0 / 5
I. Roby	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Richardson	3	21%	1.5 / 7
M. Branham	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	30	75%	15.0 / 20
T. Herro	23	64%	11.5 / 18
C. Martin	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Lowry	12	86%	6.0 / 7
B. Adebayo	12	46%	6.0 / 13
V. Oladipo	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Strus	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Robinson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Dedmon	2	13%	1.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 110.2 25 112.9	SAS 119.8 +4.2 MIA 115.6
Pace	2 101.7 29 96.3	SAS 94.7 MIA 97.1 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.0 5 15.0	SAS 15.2 MIA 14.8 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.5% 25 53.0%	SAS 58.3% +2.1% MIA 56.2%
TO %	24 14.4% 15 13.2%	SAS 16.4% MIA 9.7% −6.7%
ORB %	7 25.6% 21 22.8%	SAS 25.0% +13.1% MIA 11.9%
FTrt	29 22.9 13 27.0	SAS 39.7 +5.1 MIA 34.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 63.2% 14 60.8%	SAS 57.1% MIA 66.7% +9.6%
STL %	23 6.8% 3 8.2%	SAS 8.3% +3.1% MIA 5.2%
BLK %	28 6.7% 29 6.3%	SAS 8.5% +3.2% MIA 5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.3% 22 55.9%	SAS 62.5% +3.5% MIA 59.0%
Rim FG%	25 61.3% 20 62.6%	SAS 84.2% +3.2% MIA 81.0%
Mid FG%	23 42.3% 7 45.3%	SAS 50.0% +15.4% MIA 34.6%
3P %	26 34.5% 27 34.4%	SAS 33.3% MIA 38.2% +4.9%
FT %	28 74.3% 2 83.1%	SAS 77.4% +6.0% MIA 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.7% 29 29.9%	SAS 24.4% MIA 25.9% +1.6%
Mid Att. %	22 28.6% 24 29.4%	SAS 48.7% MIA 32.1% −16.6%
3P Att. %	27 34.8% 9 40.8%	SAS 26.9% MIA 42.0% +15.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIA
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	115	111
Rebounds	46	32
Assists	24	26
Steals	8	5
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	21	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	27 (0)
Field Goals	42-78	39-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-19	17-21
Midrange FG	19-38	9-26
2-Point FG	35-57	26-47
3-Point FG	7-21	13-34
Free Throws	24-31	20-28
Fast Break Pts	11	17
2nd Chance Pts	17	7
Points in Paint	54	50
Pts off Turnovers	17	12
Bench Points	47	20
Biggest Lead	5	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg