Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 13, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Warriors	45%	112	111	102.8	108	116.0
	3	Bucks	55%	114	128	118.5	108	101.1

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+14

-18

104

MIL

+12

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.07 53.4%

MIL

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 23	31.9	18	50%	2	3	0	0	4	2	0	2	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 35	27.3	20	56%	6	1	1	1	2	0	2	4	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	3-10	30%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 33	27.1	14	44%	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-7	29%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	23.1	2	33%	6	7	0	0	3	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 27	18.8	5	50%	8	1	1	0	0	3	4	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 20	27.4	19	79%	1	3	1	0	1	5	1	0	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 26	27.0	16	50%	7	2	2	0	3	0	2	5	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	4-10	40%
Anthony Lamb #40 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 25	25.8	8	80%	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
JaMychal Green #1 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 32	13.0	3	38%	2	0	0	0	3	6	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 21	10.4	0	0%	1	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 20	8.2	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Ryan Rollins #2 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 20	INACTIVE
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 22	INACTIVE
Ty Jerome #10 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Andre Iguodala #9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Injury Management
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	37	25	7	2	18	22	12	25	15-19	79%	18-45	40%	20-50	40%

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2 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 23	31.9	18	50%	2	3	0	0	4	2	0	2	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 35	27.3	20	56%	6	1	1	1	2	0	2	4	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	3-10	30%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 33	27.1	14	44%	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-7	29%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	23.1	2	33%	6	7	0	0	3	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 27	18.8	5	50%	8	1	1	0	0	3	4	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 20	27.4	19	79%	1	3	1	0	1	5	1	0	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 26	27.0	16	50%	7	2	2	0	3	0	2	5	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	4-10	40%
Anthony Lamb #40 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 25	25.8	8	80%	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
JaMychal Green #1 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 32	13.0	3	38%	2	0	0	0	3	6	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 21	10.4	0	0%	1	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 20	8.2	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Ryan Rollins #2 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 20	INACTIVE
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 22	INACTIVE
Ty Jerome #10 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Andre Iguodala #9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Injury Management
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	37	25	7	2	18	22	12	25	15-19	79%	18-45	40%	20-50	40%

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3 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	29.9	30	44%	12	5	1	1	4	4	3	9	11-17	65%	8-20	40%	1-6	17%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	28.9	20	77%	4	3	0	0	3	2	0	4	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	28.3	7	70%	7	2	0	2	1	4	0	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	28.3	4	67%	4	3	3	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	27.0	16	114%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	2-2	100%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	32.0	25	78%	11	0	0	1	1	1	4	7	2-2	100%	10-11	91%	1-4	25%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	19.2	9	75%	3	1	2	1	4	2	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	19.0	5	125%	5	3	1	0	3	1	1	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	13.8	5	125%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	5.0	3	38%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	2.9	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	2.9	2	100%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	65%	55	22	8	5	21	18	12	43	26-32	81%	33-53	62%	12-29	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.07 53.4%

MIL

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

52%

MIL

70%

Midrange

GSW

27%

MIL

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

30.0

40%

60%

MIL

18.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

GSW

79%

MIL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Kuminga	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Poole	18	50%	9.0 / 18
D. DiVincenzo	16	50%	8.0 / 16
K. Thompson	14	44%	7.0 / 16
A. Lamb	8	80%	4.0 / 5
P. Baldwin	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Looney	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Green	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Moody	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	30	44%	15.0 / 34
B. Portis	25	78%	12.5 / 16
K. Middleton	20	77%	10.0 / 13
G. Allen	16	114%	8.0 / 7
P. Connaughton	9	75%	4.5 / 6
B. Lopez	7	70%	3.5 / 5
G. Hill	5	125%	2.5 / 2
W. Matthews	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Carter	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Beauchamp	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Green	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Antetokounmpo	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.6 13 114.9	GSW 102.8 MIL 118.5 +15.7
Pace	1 102.1 9 101.0	GSW 116.0 +14.9 MIL 101.1
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.9 16 14.4	GSW 12.4 −1.8 MIL 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 57.1% 10 55.5%	GSW 50.5% MIL 62.2% +11.7%
TO %	29 15.3% 19 13.6%	GSW 14.8% −4.5% MIL 19.3%
ORB %	14 24.4% 9 25.0%	GSW 21.8% MIL 32.4% +10.6%
FTrt	30 22.4 25 24.8	GSW 20.0 MIL 39.0 +19.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 69.1% 15 60.4%	GSW 65.8% +16.9% MIL 48.9%
STL %	19 7.0% 28 6.2%	GSW 6.5% MIL 7.4% +0.9%
BLK %	25 7.1% 18 8.3%	GSW 3.8% MIL 11.1% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 16 56.9%	GSW 53.4% MIL 64.6% +11.2%
Rim FG%	2 67.1% 6 65.3%	GSW 52.2% MIL 70.0% +17.8%
Mid FG%	25 41.2% 16 42.9%	GSW 27.3% MIL 52.2% +24.9%
3P %	2 38.5% 10 36.8%	GSW 40.0% MIL 41.4% +1.4%
FT %	9 79.4% 29 74.3%	GSW 78.9% MIL 81.3% +2.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.7% 25 31.6%	GSW 24.2% MIL 36.6% +12.4%
Mid Att. %	4 21.4% 10 23.8%	GSW 23.2% −4.9% MIL 28.0%
3P Att. %	3 47.9% 4 44.6%	GSW 52.6% +17.3% MIL 35.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	GSW	MIL
Possessions	108	108
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	111	128
Rebounds	37	55
Assists	25	22
Steals	7	8
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	21 (2)
Fouls	22	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	43 (3)
Field Goals	38-95	45-82
At-the-Rim FG	12-23	21-30
Midrange FG	6-22	12-23
2-Point FG	18-45	33-53
3-Point FG	20-50	12-29
Free Throws	15-19	26-32
Fast Break Pts	7	16
2nd Chance Pts	10	12
Points in Paint	30	48
Pts off Turnovers	19	20
Bench Points	52	51
Biggest Lead	7	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg