Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Hawks	54%	113	124	120.4	103	104.8
	28	Magic	46%	112	135	132.4	102	100.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	38.7	19	56%	3	16	0	0	5	3	1	2	6-7	86%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	37.8	25	69%	6	3	0	0	2	3	0	6	9-10	90%	2-5	40%	4-9	44%
AJ Griffin #14 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 19	27.4	15	83%	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	22.1	16	80%	6	2	0	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 21	18.8	9	50%	0	1	0	4	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 30	31.1	17	57%	5	3	0	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-9	33%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	25.9	15	68%	11	0	1	0	1	3	5	6	7-8	88%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 34	20.5	2	100%	0	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	13.8	4	33%	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jarrett Culver #7 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 24	4.0	2	50%	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Frank Kaminsky #0 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	61%	39	30	2	6	13	21	11	28	24-27	89%	32-53	60%	12-35	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	38.7	19	56%	3	16	0	0	5	3	1	2	6-7	86%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	37.8	25	69%	6	3	0	0	2	3	0	6	9-10	90%	2-5	40%	4-9	44%
AJ Griffin #14 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 19	27.4	15	83%	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	22.1	16	80%	6	2	0	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 21	18.8	9	50%	0	1	0	4	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 30	31.1	17	57%	5	3	0	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-9	33%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	25.9	15	68%	11	0	1	0	1	3	5	6	7-8	88%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 34	20.5	2	100%	0	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	13.8	4	33%	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jarrett Culver #7 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 24	4.0	2	50%	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Frank Kaminsky #0 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	61%	39	30	2	6	13	21	11	28	24-27	89%	32-53	60%	12-35	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SG · 6'10" 220 · 21	36.4	24	60%	3	4	0	1	1	3	1	2	7-8	88%	4-11	36%	3-6	50%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 20	33.6	20	56%	6	6	2	1	2	4	2	4	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	2-7	29%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25	31.6	16	57%	7	9	4	1	1	3	3	4	0-0	-	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	30.4	17	94%	5	0	1	0	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-4	75%
Bol Bol #10 · SF · 7'2" 208 · 23	27.5	21	70%	7	2	1	1	0	0	4	3	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	3-4	75%

Terrence Ross #31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 32	24.3	11	61%	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	20.3	13	65%	5	6	0	0	3	4	0	5	7-7	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 25	17.6	11	79%	7	0	0	2	0	3	0	7	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 26	14.4	2	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kevon Harris #7 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 25	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Strain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	62%	46	28	10	6	11	22	14	32	25-30	83%	31-57	54%	16-36	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.22 60.8%

ORL

1.24 61.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

22

28

79%

ORL

19

35

54%

Midrange

ATL

10

25

40%

ORL

12

22

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

12

18.0

35

34%

51%

ORL

16

24.0

36

44%

67%

Free Throws

ATL

24

27

89%

ORL

25

30

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Hunter	25	69%	12.5 / 18
T. Young	19	56%	9.5 / 17
B. Bogdanović	17	57%	8.5 / 15
C. Capela	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Griffin	15	83%	7.5 / 9
O. Okongwu	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Johnson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
T. Forrest	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Holiday	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Culver	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	24	60%	12.0 / 20
B. Bol	21	70%	10.5 / 15
P. Banchero	20	56%	10.0 / 18
M. Wagner	17	94%	8.5 / 9
M. Fultz	16	57%	8.0 / 14
C. Anthony	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Ross	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Bamba	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Schofield	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.8 26 111.9	ATL 120.4 ORL 132.4 +12.0
Pace	4 101.3 16 99.1	ATL 104.8 +4.6 ORL 100.3
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 17 14.4	ATL 13.7 −0.6 ORL 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.1% 23 53.2%	ATL 56.8% ORL 59.1% +2.3%
TO %	3 12.1% 25 14.4%	ATL 11.5% −0.1% ORL 11.6%
ORB %	8 25.1% 15 23.8%	ATL 25.6% ORL 33.3% +7.7%
FTrt	26 24.4 5 29.0	ATL 30.7 ORL 32.3 +1.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 56.0% 24 57.4%	ATL 68.2% +8.6% ORL 59.6%
STL %	20 6.9% 12 7.4%	ATL 1.9% ORL 9.8% +7.9%
BLK %	16 8.6% 7 9.4%	ATL 10.5% ORL 11.3% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.5% 21 56.1%	ATL 60.8% ORL 61.9% +1.1%
Rim FG%	17 62.7% 14 63.6%	ATL 78.6% +24.3% ORL 54.3%
Mid FG%	2 46.7% 29 40.5%	ATL 40.0% ORL 54.5% +14.5%
3P %	21 35.2% 24 34.6%	ATL 34.3% ORL 44.4% +10.1%
FT %	3 81.8% 16 78.4%	ATL 88.9% +5.6% ORL 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.7% 10 37.3%	ATL 31.8% ORL 37.6% +5.8%
Mid Att. %	29 33.2% 18 26.6%	ATL 28.4% ORL 23.7% −4.8%
3P Att. %	30 33.1% 22 36.1%	ATL 39.8% +1.1% ORL 38.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	ORL
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	124	135
Rebounds	39	46
Assists	30	28
Steals	2	10
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	11 (3)
Fouls	21	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	44-88	47-93
At-the-Rim FG	22-28	19-35
Midrange FG	10-25	12-22
2-Point FG	32-53	31-57
3-Point FG	12-35	16-36
Free Throws	24-27	25-30
Fast Break Pts	4	19
2nd Chance Pts	21	19
Points in Paint	56	50
Pts off Turnovers	11	19
Bench Points	40	37
Biggest Lead	0	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg