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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 14, 2022
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat61%111110
27Thunder39%107108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.9
40
35
35
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
51%
9-17
53%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.2
34
36
3
4
5
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
54%
1-5
20%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
33
34
15
13
3
2
1
0
5
2
11
5-6
83%
5-13
9-15
38%
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.7
29
34
14
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
4-9
44%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
18
27
10
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
2-7
29%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.6
31
20
12
4
3
3
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.6
23
7
14
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
58%
4-8
50%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
18
8
0
3
3
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 33.3
15
12
7
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
2-4
50%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 22.4
6
0
1-1
54%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.5
0
0
0-0
50%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 23.7
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.5
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.5
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.2
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.2
36
31
19
11
7
0
1
0
3
2
9
0-0
-
8-12
5-10
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.4
36
34
27
8
7
1
1
0
5
0
8
6-6
100%
9-17
8-15
53%
54%
1-3
33%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.7
34
29
18
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
4-7
57%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.7
31
31
14
5
2
0
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
57%
2-4
50%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.5
31
17
12
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
4
4-7
57%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.9
25
7
8
4
1
3
0
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
3-3
1-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.5
17
18
3
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-4
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
10
6
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
1-2
50%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.0
8
24
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
8
10
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.9
5
13
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.1
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.6
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.