Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Blazers	69%	119	128	130.6	98	98.1
	30	Spurs	31%	112	112	114.3	98	97.9

Scoring Opportunities

POR

-17

SAS

+20

-11

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.41 70.3%

SAS

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	36.4	37	77%	5	8	2	0	5	1	0	5	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	7-14	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	34.8	18	64%	4	2	1	1	3	2	0	4	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	33.0	23	77%	3	4	0	0	4	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	5-9	56%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	32.5	5	31%	10	3	0	0	0	1	3	7	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	30.5	15	68%	7	6	0	1	2	4	2	5	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	23.4	12	86%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	15.5	2	100%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	14.3	7	117%	5	1	0	1	0	0	0	5	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	13.2	3	75%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	3.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	3.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	70%	40	26	5	3	17	20	5	35	12-17	71%	31-41	76%	18-40	45%

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14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	36.4	37	77%	5	8	2	0	5	1	0	5	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	7-14	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	34.8	18	64%	4	2	1	1	3	2	0	4	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	33.0	23	77%	3	4	0	0	4	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	5-9	56%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	32.5	5	31%	10	3	0	0	0	1	3	7	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	30.5	15	68%	7	6	0	1	2	4	2	5	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	23.4	12	86%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	15.5	2	100%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	14.3	7	117%	5	1	0	1	0	0	0	5	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	13.2	3	75%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	3.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	3.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	70%	40	26	5	3	17	20	5	35	12-17	71%	31-41	76%	18-40	45%

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30 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	32.7	25	63%	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	6	4-8	50%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	25.2	10	45%	4	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · PF · 6'9" 223 · 27	23.8	13	81%	4	0	2	0	1	2	2	2	2-4	50%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	23.5	11	50%	2	0	4	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	19.9	6	50%	5	2	0	2	2	4	3	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	25.6	13	38%	2	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	3-3	100%	2-12	17%	2-4	50%
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	24.2	5	36%	8	3	0	0	1	3	3	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	21.5	4	33%	5	3	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	21.0	14	70%	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	7.8	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 20	7.6	3	38%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Stanley Johnson #34 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 27	4.0	2	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	3.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Mcl; Sprain
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	52%	40	23	9	3	11	16	14	26	11-19	58%	34-68	50%	11-29	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.41 70.3%

SAS

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

88%

SAS

62%

Midrange

POR

53%

SAS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

27.0

45%

68%

SAS

16.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

POR

71%

SAS

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	37	77%	18.5 / 24
A. Simons	23	77%	11.5 / 15
J. Grant	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Nurkić	15	68%	7.5 / 11
S. Sharpe	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Eubanks	7	117%	3.5 / 3
J. Hart	5	31%	2.5 / 8
T. Watford	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Johnson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Walker	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Winslow	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	25	63%	12.5 / 20
D. McDermott	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Bates-Diop	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Vassell	13	38%	6.5 / 17
J. Richardson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Jones	10	45%	5.0 / 11
C. Bassey	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Dieng	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Sochan	4	33%	2.0 / 6
I. Roby	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Branham	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Johnson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Barlow	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 29 110.2	POR 130.6 +16.3 SAS 114.3
Pace	18 98.7 2 101.7	POR 98.1 +0.3 SAS 97.9
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 26 14.0	POR 14.7 −0.0 SAS 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 26 52.5%	POR 71.6% +19.5% SAS 52.1%
TO %	20 13.8% 24 14.4%	POR 16.1% SAS 9.5% −6.6%
ORB %	24 22.4% 7 25.6%	POR 16.1% SAS 28.6% +12.5%
FTrt	6 28.9 29 22.9	POR 21.0 +1.4 SAS 19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 6 63.2%	POR 53.1% +2.0% SAS 51.1%
STL %	24 6.8% 23 6.8%	POR 5.1% SAS 9.2% +4.1%
BLK %	17 8.4% 28 6.7%	POR 4.4% SAS 7.3% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 28 54.3%	POR 70.3% +18.0% SAS 52.3%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 25 61.3%	POR 88.5% +26.7% SAS 61.8%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 23 42.3%	POR 53.3% +15.1% SAS 38.2%
3P %	14 36.5% 26 34.5%	POR 45.0% +7.1% SAS 37.9%
FT %	8 79.6% 28 74.3%	POR 70.6% +12.7% SAS 57.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 12 36.7%	POR 32.1% SAS 35.1% +3.0%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 22 28.6%	POR 18.5% −16.5% SAS 35.1%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 27 34.8%	POR 49.4% +19.5% SAS 29.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	SAS
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	128	112
Rebounds	40	40
Assists	26	23
Steals	5	9
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	20	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (4)	14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	26 (0)
Field Goals	49-81	45-97
At-the-Rim FG	23-26	21-34
Midrange FG	8-15	13-34
2-Point FG	31-41	34-68
3-Point FG	18-40	11-29
Free Throws	12-17	11-19
Fast Break Pts	13	18
2nd Chance Pts	16	18
Points in Paint	56	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	23
Bench Points	30	47
Biggest Lead	19	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg