Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Wizards	30%	111	128	116.4	110	114.2
	7	Nuggets	70%	119	141	129.4	109	106.2

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

-13

105

DEN

-18

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.22 61.0%

DEN

1.41 70.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	35.8	24	63%	2	4	0	0	3	4	0	2	2-6	33%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	34.6	16	80%	1	2	0	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	28.7	9	64%	6	5	3	0	2	5	0	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	27.5	20	83%	0	7	1	0	0	3	0	0	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 37	17.9	8	57%	2	2	2	1	0	6	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	35.7	22	61%	3	9	1	0	5	3	1	2	4-7	57%	3-7	43%	4-8	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	25.7	11	55%	7	3	1	2	1	2	0	7	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	20.5	12	46%	1	6	0	1	2	1	1	0	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	11.8	6	75%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	1.7	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Back; Low back tightness
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right hamstring strain
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right hamstring strain
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right ankle soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	61%	24	40	10	5	13	28	4	20	13-23	57%	29-52	56%	19-39	49%

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23 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	35.8	24	63%	2	4	0	0	3	4	0	2	2-6	33%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	34.6	16	80%	1	2	0	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	28.7	9	64%	6	5	3	0	2	5	0	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	27.5	20	83%	0	7	1	0	0	3	0	0	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 37	17.9	8	57%	2	2	2	1	0	6	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	35.7	22	61%	3	9	1	0	5	3	1	2	4-7	57%	3-7	43%	4-8	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	25.7	11	55%	7	3	1	2	1	2	0	7	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	20.5	12	46%	1	6	0	1	2	1	1	0	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	11.8	6	75%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	1.7	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Back; Low back tightness
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right hamstring strain
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right hamstring strain
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right ankle soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	61%	24	40	10	5	13	28	4	20	13-23	57%	29-52	56%	19-39	49%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	33.0	43	93%	14	8	5	1	8	2	2	12	9-10	90%	17-18	94%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	31.1	22	65%	7	3	1	1	2	0	1	6	6-7	86%	8-13	62%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.6	11	42%	5	3	2	1	0	1	1	4	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	30.3	5	42%	4	6	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	27.9	13	93%	3	4	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%

Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	28.2	23	88%	2	6	0	1	3	4	0	2	5-6	83%	6-6	100%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.6	8	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	15.2	10	83%	5	1	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	13.2	4	67%	2	0	0	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	1.7	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	141	71%	45	31	8	7	18	17	7	38	29-35	83%	50-67	75%	4-16	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.22 61.0%

DEN

1.41 70.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

81%

DEN

80%

Midrange

WAS

31%

DEN

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

28.5

49%

73%

DEN

6.0

25%

38%

Free Throws

WAS

57%

DEN

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	24	63%	12.0 / 19
W. Barton	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Morris	20	83%	10.0 / 12
C. Kispert	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Goodwin	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Gafford	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Avdija	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Gibson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Gill	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Dotson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	43	93%	21.5 / 23
B. Hyland	23	88%	11.5 / 13
A. Gordon	22	65%	11.0 / 17
B. Brown	13	93%	6.5 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Green	10	83%	5.0 / 6
C. Braun	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Murray	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Jordan	4	67%	2.0 / 3
Z. Nnaji	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 114.3 5 117.1	WAS 116.4 DEN 129.4 +13.0
Pace	20 98.6 21 98.5	WAS 114.2 +8.0 DEN 106.2
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 13 14.7	WAS 12.6 −1.0 DEN 13.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 1 57.3%	WAS 63.2% DEN 67.5% +4.3%
TO %	17 13.5% 22 14.0%	WAS 12.2% −4.0% DEN 16.2%
ORB %	23 22.7% 13 24.8%	WAS 9.5% DEN 25.9% +16.4%
FTrt	21 25.8 19 25.9	WAS 25.3 DEN 42.2 +16.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 2 66.3%	WAS 83.3% +25.9% DEN 57.4%
STL %	21 6.9% 9 7.6%	WAS 9.1% +1.8% DEN 7.3%
BLK %	13 9.1% 19 8.3%	WAS 7.5% DEN 13.5% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 5 58.7%	WAS 61.0% DEN 70.5% +9.5%
Rim FG%	1 67.3% 3 66.5%	WAS 80.8% +0.4% DEN 80.4%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 13 43.4%	WAS 30.8% DEN 56.3% +25.5%
3P %	18 35.6% 4 37.9%	WAS 48.7% +23.7% DEN 25.0%
FT %	15 78.5% 26 75.1%	WAS 56.5% DEN 82.9% +26.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.1% 2 39.0%	WAS 28.6% DEN 61.4% +32.9%
Mid Att. %	25 29.4% 12 24.9%	WAS 28.6% DEN 19.3% −9.3%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 21 36.1%	WAS 42.9% +23.6% DEN 19.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	DEN
Possessions	110	109
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.6
Points	128	141
Rebounds	24	45
Assists	40	31
Steals	10	8
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	18 (1)
Fouls	28	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (4)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	20 (1)	38 (2)
Field Goals	48-91	54-83
At-the-Rim FG	21-26	41-51
Midrange FG	8-26	9-16
2-Point FG	29-52	50-67
3-Point FG	19-39	4-16
Free Throws	13-23	29-35
Fast Break Pts	11	29
2nd Chance Pts	14	13
Points in Paint	48	98
Pts off Turnovers	25	17
Bench Points	51	47
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg