Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Heat	61%	112	111	116.8	95	91.3
	27	Rockets	39%	108	108	111.3	97	102.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	38.5	41	93%	6	2	1	1	4	0	1	5	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	10-15	67%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	35.6	20	59%	10	7	4	3	4	3	6	4	6-10	60%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	33.5	12	43%	4	5	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	2-11	18%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	30.8	13	65%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	0-3	0%
Udonis Haslem #40 · C · 6'8" 235 · 43	12.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-

Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	35.5	9	50%	6	3	3	2	2	4	1	5	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	30.0	8	44%	7	3	2	0	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	23.6	8	33%	3	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-11	18%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Plantar Fasciitis
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	57%	40	21	10	6	14	19	14	26	17-23	74%	23-41	56%	16-47	34%

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5 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	38.5	41	93%	6	2	1	1	4	0	1	5	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	10-15	67%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	35.6	20	59%	10	7	4	3	4	3	6	4	6-10	60%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	33.5	12	43%	4	5	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	2-11	18%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	30.8	13	65%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	0-3	0%
Udonis Haslem #40 · C · 6'8" 235 · 43	12.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-

Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	35.5	9	50%	6	3	3	2	2	4	1	5	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	30.0	8	44%	7	3	2	0	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	23.6	8	33%	3	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-11	18%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Plantar Fasciitis
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	57%	40	21	10	6	14	19	14	26	17-23	74%	23-41	56%	16-47	34%

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27 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 23	35.8	21	62%	7	5	4	1	6	2	5	2	1-1	100%	10-15	67%	0-2	0%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	35.6	22	48%	5	1	3	1	3	2	1	4	5-6	83%	7-15	47%	1-6	17%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	32.3	15	50%	11	1	1	0	1	2	2	9	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	1-7	14%
Eric Gordon #10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 34	32.2	12	55%	1	3	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	4-9	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	23.6	12	60%	5	2	0	1	1	5	3	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-

KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	20.8	10	56%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	20.0	2	50%	9	3	0	0	0	1	5	4	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	15.7	5	36%	5	1	0	1	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	12.2	2	50%	3	5	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	7.5	5	83%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	4.4	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	INACTIVE
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	52%	51	22	10	4	14	19	18	33	11-17	65%	35-61	57%	9-33	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.13 56.6%

HOU

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

14

23

61%

HOU

22

35

63%

Midrange

MIA

9

18

50%

HOU

13

26

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

16

24.0

47

34%

51%

HOU

9

13.5

33

27%

41%

Free Throws

MIA

17

23

74%

HOU

11

17

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	41	93%	20.5 / 22
J. Butler	20	59%	10.0 / 17
C. Martin	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Strus	12	43%	6.0 / 14
O. Robinson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
H. Highsmith	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Robinson	8	33%	4.0 / 12
U. Haslem	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	22	48%	11.0 / 23
K. Porter	21	62%	10.5 / 17
J. Smith	15	50%	7.5 / 15
E. Gordon	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Sengun	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Martin	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Eason	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Mathews	5	83%	2.5 / 3
U. Garuba	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Washington	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Fernando	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 27 111.0	MIA 116.8 +5.5 HOU 111.3
Pace	29 96.3 13 99.4	MIA 91.3 HOU 102.9 +11.6
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 14 14.7	MIA 15.8 HOU 14.0 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 30 51.6%	MIA 53.4% +1.8% HOU 51.6%
TO %	15 13.2% 30 15.5%	MIA 12.5% −0.4% HOU 12.9%
ORB %	21 22.8% 1 30.3%	MIA 29.8% HOU 40.9% +11.1%
FTrt	13 27.0 7 28.5	MIA 26.1 +8.0 HOU 18.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 29 55.1%	MIA 53.8% +3.8% HOU 50.0%
STL %	3 8.2% 14 7.4%	MIA 10.5% +0.2% HOU 10.3%
BLK %	29 6.3% 10 9.2%	MIA 9.8% HOU 9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 29 53.9%	MIA 56.6% +4.7% HOU 51.9%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 29 59.6%	MIA 60.9% HOU 62.9% +2.0%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 30 40.4%	MIA 50.0% HOU 50.0%
3P %	27 34.4% 30 32.7%	MIA 34.0% +6.7% HOU 27.3%
FT %	2 83.1% 25 75.4%	MIA 73.9% +9.2% HOU 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 1 42.0%	MIA 26.1% HOU 37.2% +11.1%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 6 22.0%	MIA 20.5% −7.2% HOU 27.7%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 24 35.9%	MIA 53.4% +18.3% HOU 35.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	MIA	HOU
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	25.0	22.6
Points	111	108
Rebounds	40	51
Assists	21	22
Steals	10	10
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (4)	33 (2)
Field Goals	39-88	44-94
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	22-35
Midrange FG	9-18	13-26
2-Point FG	23-41	35-61
3-Point FG	16-47	9-33
Free Throws	17-23	11-17
Fast Break Pts	6	16
2nd Chance Pts	23	22
Points in Paint	36	58
Pts off Turnovers	18	23
Bench Points	25	26
Biggest Lead	14	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg