Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 16, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Timberwolves	44%	113	112	108.7	103	100.7
	22	Thunder	56%	115	110	106.8	103	105.4

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+13

-16

100

OKC

+16

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.12 56.0%

OKC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	36.6	28	67%	9	3	3	1	3	3	3	6	3-7	43%	8-13	62%	3-5	60%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 21	35.3	19	53%	11	7	1	1	2	0	2	9	1-5	20%	6-13	46%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	32.2	6	33%	6	2	3	1	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Austin Rivers #25 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 30	31.4	20	111%	3	1	5	0	3	3	0	3	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	4-5	80%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 22	29.9	14	54%	5	1	2	1	3	5	2	3	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%

Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	33.8	13	46%	4	4	1	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	5-12	42%	1-2	50%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	15.9	2	25%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	11.3	10	125%	5	0	0	1	3	1	3	2	4-5	80%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	6.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	6.6	0	0%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Subluxation
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	43	23	16	6	16	18	11	32	14-25	56%	31-62	50%	12-25	48%

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29 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	36.6	28	67%	9	3	3	1	3	3	3	6	3-7	43%	8-13	62%	3-5	60%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 21	35.3	19	53%	11	7	1	1	2	0	2	9	1-5	20%	6-13	46%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	32.2	6	33%	6	2	3	1	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Austin Rivers #25 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 30	31.4	20	111%	3	1	5	0	3	3	0	3	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	4-5	80%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 22	29.9	14	54%	5	1	2	1	3	5	2	3	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%

Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	33.8	13	46%	4	4	1	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	5-12	42%	1-2	50%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	15.9	2	25%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	11.3	10	125%	5	0	0	1	3	1	3	2	4-5	80%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	6.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	6.6	0	0%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Subluxation
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	43	23	16	6	16	18	11	32	14-25	56%	31-62	50%	12-25	48%

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22 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24	37.8	35	65%	7	5	1	0	5	4	1	6	10-12	83%	8-18	44%	3-5	60%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	32.7	13	72%	4	3	0	0	4	2	1	3	3-5	60%	5-5	100%	0-3	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	29.7	11	55%	13	6	0	0	4	1	1	12	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · C · 7'0" 190 · 21	24.1	9	50%	4	3	1	2	2	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	23.5	3	21%	1	4	0	1	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	27.8	14	64%	6	1	0	0	3	4	1	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	21.1	14	78%	5	1	3	0	1	2	2	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 23	13.3	6	60%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	11.3	3	75%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	11.0	2	25%	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	7.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-COVID illness
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Small, non-displaced fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	45	29	7	4	22	21	9	36	17-21	81%	30-51	59%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.12 56.0%

OKC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

60%

OKC

70%

Midrange

MIN

37%

OKC

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

18.0

48%

72%

OKC

16.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

MIN

56%

OKC

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	28	67%	14.0 / 21
A. Rivers	20	111%	10.0 / 9
A. Edwards	19	53%	9.5 / 18
J. McDaniels	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Nowell	13	46%	6.5 / 14
N. Knight	10	125%	5.0 / 4
K. Anderson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
B. Forbes	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Ryan	0	-	0.0 / 2
W. Moore	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	35	65%	17.5 / 27
A. Wiggins	14	64%	7.0 / 11
E. Omoruyi	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Williams	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Giddey	11	55%	5.5 / 10
A. Pokusevski	9	50%	4.5 / 9
I. Joe	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Dort	3	21%	1.5 / 7
L. Waters	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Muscala	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Mann	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 113.7 16 114.6	MIN 108.7 +1.9 OKC 106.8
Pace	10 101.0 3 101.6	MIN 100.7 OKC 105.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 29 13.8	MIN 14.3 OKC 13.7 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.0% 24 53.1%	MIN 56.3% +3.5% OKC 52.8%
TO %	27 14.5% 4 12.1%	MIN 14.0% −4.5% OKC 18.5%
ORB %	27 21.5% 12 24.8%	MIN 23.4% +1.4% OKC 22.0%
FTrt	12 27.0 23 25.6	MIN 28.7 +4.8 OKC 23.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 61.0% 27 56.7%	MIN 53.5% OKC 70.7% +17.2%
STL %	7 7.9% 5 8.1%	MIN 15.5% +8.7% OKC 6.8%
BLK %	6 9.8% 24 7.9%	MIN 11.8% +5.3% OKC 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.0% 24 55.7%	MIN 56.0% OKC 56.7% +0.7%
Rim FG%	9 64.9% 30 58.7%	MIN 60.0% OKC 70.0% +10.0%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 12 43.7%	MIN 37.0% OKC 42.9% +5.9%
3P %	13 36.5% 17 35.6%	MIN 48.0% +18.3% OKC 29.7%
FT %	24 75.5% 6 80.9%	MIN 56.0% OKC 81.0% +25.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 38.7% 3 38.9%	MIN 40.2% +6.1% OKC 34.1%
Mid Att. %	8 23.2% 11 24.2%	MIN 31.0% OKC 23.9% −7.2%
3P Att. %	14 38.1% 18 36.8%	MIN 28.7% OKC 42.0% +13.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	MIN	OKC
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	112	110
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	23	29
Steals	16	7
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	22 (0)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	9 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	36 (1)
Field Goals	43-87	41-88
At-the-Rim FG	21-35	21-30
Midrange FG	10-27	9-21
2-Point FG	31-62	30-51
3-Point FG	12-25	11-37
Free Throws	14-25	17-21
Fast Break Pts	8	12
2nd Chance Pts	16	18
Points in Paint	54	58
Pts off Turnovers	29	25
Bench Points	25	39
Biggest Lead	14	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg