Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 16, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Blazers	40%	112	110	110.0	100	103.4
	7	Mavericks	60%	115	130	131.3	99	95.8

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+14

-12

102

DAL

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.08 53.9%

DAL

1.40 69.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	24.4	24	67%	1	3	0	0	2	2	0	1	9-10	90%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	23.6	7	35%	2	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	21.9	6	100%	4	1	0	0	1	3	2	2	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	21.9	16	80%	6	1	1	0	2	4	2	4	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	20.9	7	35%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	29.4	10	42%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	24.4	16	80%	11	6	2	0	0	1	0	11	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	18.7	13	54%	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	17.9	5	50%	3	0	0	1	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	13.0	4	100%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	12.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	12.0	2	25%	4	0	1	1	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	42	21	4	2	12	22	10	32	19-25	76%	26-52	50%	13-37	35%

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14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	24.4	24	67%	1	3	0	0	2	2	0	1	9-10	90%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	23.6	7	35%	2	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	21.9	6	100%	4	1	0	0	1	3	2	2	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	21.9	16	80%	6	1	1	0	2	4	2	4	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	20.9	7	35%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	29.4	10	42%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	24.4	16	80%	11	6	2	0	0	1	0	11	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	18.7	13	54%	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	17.9	5	50%	3	0	0	1	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	13.0	4	100%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	12.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	12.0	2	25%	4	0	1	1	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	42	21	4	2	12	22	10	32	19-25	76%	26-52	50%	13-37	35%

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7 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 24	28.8	33	79%	6	9	0	0	4	3	0	6	6-7	86%	6-9	67%	5-9	56%
Dorian Finney-Smith #10 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 30	28.4	6	50%	3	2	0	1	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31	26.4	17	85%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 30	25.4	13	81%	1	4	2	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 31	11.6	5	83%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 27	29.7	32	76%	12	0	0	2	2	2	0	12	8-10	80%	9-10	90%	2-7	29%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 32	29.1	4	50%	3	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Frank Ntilikina #21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 24	27.6	8	100%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Kemba Walker #34 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 33	13.1	6	60%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jaden Hardy #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 20	6.7	6	60%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 35	6.7	0	0%	2	0	0	2	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Theo Pinson #1 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 27	6.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tyler Dorsey #5 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
McKinley Wright IV #23 · PG · 5'11" 192 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Davis Bertans #44 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tear
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	70%	40	25	4	5	12	19	3	37	22-26	85%	27-38	71%	18-43	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.08 53.9%

DAL

1.40 69.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

53%

DAL

77%

Midrange

POR

44%

DAL

63%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

19.5

35%

53%

DAL

27.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

POR

76%

DAL

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Nurkić	16	80%	8.0 / 10
T. Watford	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Johnson	13	54%	6.5 / 12
S. Sharpe	10	42%	5.0 / 12
A. Simons	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Grant	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Hart	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Winslow	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Eubanks	4	100%	2.0 / 2
G. Brown III	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Walker	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	33	79%	16.5 / 21
C. Wood	32	76%	16.0 / 21
T. Hardaway	17	85%	8.5 / 10
S. Dinwiddie	13	81%	6.5 / 8
F. Ntilikina	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Finney-Smith	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Walker	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Hardy	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Powell	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Bullock	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. McGee	0	-	0.0 / 3
T. Pinson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 6 116.4	POR 110.0 DAL 131.3 +21.3
Pace	18 98.7 28 96.9	POR 103.4 +7.7 DAL 95.8
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 2 15.1	POR 13.9 −1.1 DAL 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 5 56.5%	POR 51.1% DAL 66.7% +15.6%
TO %	20 13.8% 2 11.9%	POR 10.7% −1.6% DAL 12.3%
ORB %	24 22.4% 30 18.1%	POR 21.3% +12.7% DAL 8.6%
FTrt	6 28.9 3 29.7	POR 28.1 DAL 32.1 +4.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 25 57.3%	POR 53.8% DAL 55.6% +1.8%
STL %	24 6.8% 26 6.4%	POR 4.0% DAL 4.0%
BLK %	17 8.4% 27 6.8%	POR 5.3% DAL 9.6% +4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 7 58.4%	POR 53.9% DAL 69.9% +16.0%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 7 65.3%	POR 52.9% DAL 77.3% +24.4%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 4 46.1%	POR 44.4% DAL 62.5% +18.1%
3P %	14 36.5% 8 37.1%	POR 35.1% DAL 41.9% +6.8%
FT %	8 79.6% 23 75.5%	POR 76.0% DAL 84.6% +8.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 27 30.3%	POR 38.2% +11.0% DAL 27.2%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 2 21.1%	POR 20.2% DAL 19.8% −0.5%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 1 48.7%	POR 41.6% DAL 53.1% +11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Game Totals	POR	DAL
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	110	130
Rebounds	42	40
Assists	21	25
Steals	4	4
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	37 (3)
Field Goals	39-89	45-81
At-the-Rim FG	18-34	17-22
Midrange FG	8-18	10-16
2-Point FG	26-52	27-38
3-Point FG	13-37	18-43
Free Throws	19-25	22-26
Fast Break Pts	13	18
2nd Chance Pts	14	5
Points in Paint	44	42
Pts off Turnovers	12	17
Bench Points	50	56
Biggest Lead	8	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg