Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 16, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	51%	118	108	104.9	103	102.0
	16	Lakers	49%	117	126	121.2	104	105.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-19

LAL

+15

-14

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.16 58.1%

LAL

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	35.7	23	61%	5	6	1	0	5	0	1	4	5-7	71%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	35.3	25	69%	11	8	4	0	5	3	2	9	8-9	89%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	34.7	11	69%	5	5	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	32.5	17	57%	3	1	2	1	4	3	0	3	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.0	9	75%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	17.1	8	50%	6	1	0	1	1	0	4	2	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	16.6	1	25%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	14.7	5	28%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-5	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	9.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	7.1	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	2.4	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	2.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	58%	39	25	7	4	19	17	9	30	21-28	75%	30-54	56%	9-27	33%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	35.7	23	61%	5	6	1	0	5	0	1	4	5-7	71%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	35.3	25	69%	11	8	4	0	5	3	2	9	8-9	89%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	34.7	11	69%	5	5	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	32.5	17	57%	3	1	2	1	4	3	0	3	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.0	9	75%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	17.1	8	50%	6	1	0	1	1	0	4	2	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	16.6	1	25%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	14.7	5	28%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-5	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	9.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	7.1	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	2.4	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	2.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	58%	39	25	7	4	19	17	9	30	21-28	75%	30-54	56%	9-27	33%

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16 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #6 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 38	35.9	30	65%	9	4	2	0	2	2	1	8	3-4	75%	12-17	71%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 29	30.6	15	63%	1	3	2	0	2	4	1	0	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	3-6	50%
Patrick Beverley #21 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	20.7	10	83%	4	5	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Lonnie Walker IV #4 · SF · 6'5" 196 · 24	19.8	3	21%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 30	17.4	10	71%	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	29.9	16	80%	4	0	1	1	2	3	1	3	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 34	29.8	15	47%	11	12	2	0	4	2	2	9	5-8	63%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	23.6	21	81%	6	1	2	0	1	4	4	2	2-4	50%	8-9	89%	1-2	50%
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	15.9	6	60%	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Troy Brown Jr. #7 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 23	13.8	0	0%	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 27	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #14 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cole Swider #20 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Wenyen Gabriel #35 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	60%	45	29	11	4	14	21	11	34	18-24	75%	36-58	62%	12-33	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.16 58.1%

LAL

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

65%

LAL

67%

Midrange

DEN

40%

LAL

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13.5

33%

50%

LAL

18.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

DEN

75%

LAL

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	25	69%	12.5 / 18
J. Murray	23	61%	11.5 / 19
A. Gordon	17	57%	8.5 / 15
B. Brown	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Green	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Hyland	5	28%	2.5 / 9
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2
V. Cancar	3	150%	1.5 / 1
I. Smith	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Reed	1	25%	0.5 / 2
C. Braun	0	-	0.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	30	65%	15.0 / 23
T. Bryant	21	81%	10.5 / 13
A. Reaves	16	80%	8.0 / 10
D. Schröder	15	63%	7.5 / 12
R. Westbrook	15	47%	7.5 / 16
P. Beverley	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Davis	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Christie	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Walker IV	3	21%	1.5 / 7
K. Nunn	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 18 114.5	DEN 104.9 LAL 121.2 +16.3
Pace	21 98.5 6 101.3	DEN 102.0 LAL 105.1 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 22 14.2	DEN 14.1 LAL 13.7 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 18 54.2%	DEN 53.7% LAL 59.3% +5.6%
TO %	22 14.0% 14 13.1%	DEN 16.9% LAL 12.9% −4.0%
ORB %	13 24.8% 19 22.9%	DEN 20.9% LAL 26.8% +5.9%
FTrt	19 25.9 2 29.9	DEN 34.6 +8.2 LAL 26.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 20 58.9%	DEN 64.1% +3.7% LAL 60.4%
STL %	9 7.6% 29 6.2%	DEN 6.8% LAL 10.6% +3.8%
BLK %	19 8.3% 22 8.0%	DEN 6.9% LAL 7.4% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 15 57.1%	DEN 58.1% LAL 60.0% +1.9%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 10 64.4%	DEN 64.7% LAL 67.4% +2.7%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 22 42.3%	DEN 40.0% LAL 41.7% +1.7%
3P %	4 37.9% 25 34.6%	DEN 33.3% LAL 36.4% +3.1%
FT %	26 75.1% 20 77.5%	DEN 75.0% LAL 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 4 38.9%	DEN 42.0% LAL 50.5% +8.6%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 16 26.1%	DEN 24.7% LAL 13.2% −11.5%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 26 35.1%	DEN 33.3% LAL 36.3% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	103	104
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	108	126
Rebounds	39	45
Assists	25	29
Steals	7	11
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	17	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (0)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	34 (0)
Field Goals	39-81	48-91
At-the-Rim FG	22-34	31-46
Midrange FG	8-20	5-12
2-Point FG	30-54	36-58
3-Point FG	9-27	12-33
Free Throws	21-28	18-24
Fast Break Pts	20	28
2nd Chance Pts	6	18
Points in Paint	56	64
Pts off Turnovers	22	28
Bench Points	23	58
Biggest Lead	12	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg