Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Heat	69%	115	111	114.4	97	97.1
	29	Spurs	31%	108	101	103.1	98	99.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	38.1	21	55%	6	7	2	0	4	4	0	6	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	3-9	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 25	35.8	22	61%	13	3	1	0	4	4	4	9	0-0	-	11-18	61%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	34.4	26	72%	5	4	2	1	0	2	1	4	7-10	70%	8-13	62%	1-2	50%
Max Strus #31 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 27	27.2	12	60%	4	3	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jović #5 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	14.8	3	50%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	33.7	7	50%	2	3	5	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	25.6	12	75%	2	3	2	0	0	5	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	18.2	3	50%	5	0	0	1	0	3	1	4	1-4	25%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	7.7	3	38%	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	4.5	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinosis
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	58%	40	25	14	3	12	27	8	32	16-23	70%	31-52	60%	11-30	37%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	38.1	21	55%	6	7	2	0	4	4	0	6	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	3-9	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 25	35.8	22	61%	13	3	1	0	4	4	4	9	0-0	-	11-18	61%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	34.4	26	72%	5	4	2	1	0	2	1	4	7-10	70%	8-13	62%	1-2	50%
Max Strus #31 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 27	27.2	12	60%	4	3	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jović #5 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	14.8	3	50%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	33.7	7	50%	2	3	5	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	25.6	12	75%	2	3	2	0	0	5	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	18.2	3	50%	5	0	0	1	0	3	1	4	1-4	25%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	7.7	3	38%	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	4.5	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinosis
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	58%	40	25	14	3	12	27	8	32	16-23	70%	31-52	60%	11-30	37%

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29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	33.4	22	65%	2	3	1	0	2	3	0	2	7-7	100%	3-9	33%	3-5	60%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	31.9	9	35%	3	9	1	0	4	1	0	3	5-6	83%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	31.8	18	50%	3	2	1	0	2	3	1	2	7-9	78%	4-7	57%	1-7	14%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	20.8	7	44%	7	0	2	0	1	1	2	5	1-4	25%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	16.4	2	17%	4	4	0	0	0	4	0	4	0-2	0%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	32.0	10	56%	4	4	1	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	24.3	13	93%	6	5	0	2	5	3	2	4	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	21.0	8	50%	5	1	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 20	20.0	12	100%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	2.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	2.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Stanley Johnson #34 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 27	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	53%	38	29	8	3	17	19	7	31	25-33	76%	23-50	46%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.17 58.4%

SAS

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

19

27

70%

SAS

18

28

64%

Midrange

MIA

12

25

48%

SAS

5

22

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

30

37%

55%

SAS

10

15.0

27

37%

56%

Free Throws

MIA

16

23

70%

SAS

25

33

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	26	72%	13.0 / 18
B. Adebayo	22	61%	11.0 / 18
T. Herro	21	55%	10.5 / 19
M. Strus	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Robinson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
V. Oladipo	7	50%	3.5 / 7
N. Jović	3	50%	1.5 / 3
H. Highsmith	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Dedmon	3	38%	1.5 / 4
O. Robinson	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. Vassell	18	50%	9.0 / 18
Z. Collins	13	93%	6.5 / 7
M. Branham	12	100%	6.0 / 6
K. Bates-Diop	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Jones	9	35%	4.5 / 13
D. McDermott	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Poeltl	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Sochan	2	17%	1.0 / 6
S. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 29 110.2	MIA 114.4 +11.4 SAS 103.1
Pace	29 96.3 2 101.7	MIA 97.1 SAS 99.2 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 26 14.0	MIA 14.8 SAS 14.5 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 26 52.5%	MIA 57.9% +8.5% SAS 49.4%
TO %	15 13.2% 24 14.4%	MIA 13.2% −2.5% SAS 15.7%
ORB %	21 22.8% 7 25.6%	MIA 20.5% +2.6% SAS 17.9%
FTrt	13 27.0 29 22.9	MIA 28.0 SAS 42.9 +14.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 6 63.2%	MIA 59.5% SAS 87.9% +28.4%
STL %	3 8.2% 23 6.8%	MIA 14.4% +6.2% SAS 8.2%
BLK %	29 6.3% 28 6.7%	MIA 6.0% +0.2% SAS 5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 28 54.3%	MIA 58.4% +5.2% SAS 53.2%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 25 61.3%	MIA 70.4% +6.1% SAS 64.3%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 23 42.3%	MIA 48.0% +25.3% SAS 22.7%
3P %	27 34.4% 26 34.5%	MIA 36.7% SAS 37.0% +0.3%
FT %	2 83.1% 28 74.3%	MIA 69.6% SAS 75.8% +6.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 12 36.7%	MIA 32.9% SAS 36.4% +3.4%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 22 28.6%	MIA 30.5% SAS 28.6% −1.9%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 27 34.8%	MIA 36.6% +1.5% SAS 35.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	SAS
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	24.0	23.7
Points	111	101
Rebounds	40	38
Assists	25	29
Steals	14	8
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	17 (0)
Fouls	27	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	31 (3)
Field Goals	42-82	33-77
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	18-28
Midrange FG	12-25	5-22
2-Point FG	31-52	23-50
3-Point FG	11-30	10-27
Free Throws	16-23	25-33
Fast Break Pts	9	19
2nd Chance Pts	12	7
Points in Paint	50	42
Pts off Turnovers	15	18
Bench Points	27	43
Biggest Lead	13	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg