Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 17, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Jazz	48%	111	97	102.1	95	96.3
	14	Bucks	52%	112	123	128.1	96	94.6

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

-14

MIL

+17

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.09 54.5%

MIL

1.24 62.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 26	28.2	18	69%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	27.1	12	50%	1	2	2	0	4	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	25.7	13	65%	1	3	1	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Mike Conley #11 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	25.4	4	33%	1	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · C · 6'8" 214 · 24	20.5	0	0%	6	3	1	1	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	28.0	18	69%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	6-10	60%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #6 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	18.7	14	88%	1	5	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	14.9	2	25%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 21	14.4	4	100%	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	13.2	4	50%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 22	7.3	4	40%	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	7.3	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leandro Bolmaro #10 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	55%	29	24	5	2	14	13	7	22	3-6	50%	23-39	59%	16-47	34%

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9 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 26	28.2	18	69%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	27.1	12	50%	1	2	2	0	4	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	25.7	13	65%	1	3	1	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Mike Conley #11 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	25.4	4	33%	1	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · C · 6'8" 214 · 24	20.5	0	0%	6	3	1	1	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	28.0	18	69%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	6-10	60%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #6 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	18.7	14	88%	1	5	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	14.9	2	25%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 21	14.4	4	100%	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	13.2	4	50%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 22	7.3	4	40%	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	7.3	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leandro Bolmaro #10 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	55%	29	24	5	2	14	13	7	22	3-6	50%	23-39	59%	16-47	34%

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14 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	30.1	22	65%	14	1	0	0	3	2	1	13	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	2-5	40%
Grayson Allen #12 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 27	27.8	13	72%	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	27.4	21	66%	4	8	1	0	4	0	2	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	3-6	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	25.9	18	56%	8	1	0	3	1	0	3	5	1-3	33%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Jevon Carter #5 · SG · 6'0" 190 · 27	17.4	0	0%	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	23.5	3	75%	8	6	0	0	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	19.4	18	82%	3	2	1	0	1	3	0	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	16.6	9	90%	5	3	1	0	3	1	2	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	16.1	8	67%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	13.5	6	75%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	11.1	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	4.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	4.0	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	62%	54	30	5	3	14	13	15	39	9-11	82%	30-52	58%	18-38	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.09 54.5%

MIL

1.24 62.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

75%

MIL

68%

Midrange

UTA

42%

MIL

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

24.0

34%

51%

MIL

27.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

UTA

50%

MIL

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	18	69%	9.0 / 13
M. Beasley	18	69%	9.0 / 13
N. Alexander-Walker	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Clarkson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Olynyk	12	50%	6.0 / 12
M. Conley	4	33%	2.0 / 6
W. Kessler	4	100%	2.0 / 2
R. Gay	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Horton-Tucker	4	40%	2.0 / 5
O. Agbaji	4	33%	2.0 / 6
S. Fontecchio	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Vanderbilt	0	-	0.0 / 4
L. Bolmaro	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Portis	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Holiday	21	66%	10.5 / 16
B. Lopez	18	56%	9.0 / 16
M. Beauchamp	18	82%	9.0 / 11
G. Allen	13	72%	6.5 / 9
G. Hill	9	90%	4.5 / 5
P. Connaughton	8	67%	4.0 / 6
W. Matthews	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Mamukelashvili	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Ibaka	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.6 13 114.9	UTA 102.1 MIL 128.1 +26.0
Pace	12 100.6 9 101.0	UTA 96.3 +1.7 MIL 94.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 16 14.4	UTA 14.9 −0.3 MIL 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 10 55.5%	UTA 54.7% MIL 63.3% +8.6%
TO %	28 14.7% 19 13.6%	UTA 13.6% −0.1% MIL 13.7%
ORB %	4 26.8% 9 25.0%	UTA 15.2% MIL 40.5% +25.3%
FTrt	14 26.6 25 24.8	UTA 7.0 MIL 12.2 +5.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 61.1% 15 60.4%	UTA 61.5% MIL 62.5% +1.0%
STL %	30 6.0% 28 6.2%	UTA 5.3% +0.1% MIL 5.2%
BLK %	11 9.2% 18 8.3%	UTA 3.8% MIL 7.7% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 57.3% 16 56.9%	UTA 54.5% MIL 62.1% +7.6%
Rim FG%	12 64.1% 6 65.3%	UTA 75.0% +7.0% MIL 68.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 16 42.9%	UTA 42.1% MIL 48.1% +6.0%
3P %	20 35.3% 10 36.8%	UTA 34.0% MIL 47.4% +13.4%
FT %	14 78.6% 29 74.3%	UTA 50.0% MIL 81.8% +31.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 34.5% 25 31.6%	UTA 23.3% MIL 27.8% +4.5%
Mid Att. %	9 23.5% 10 23.8%	UTA 22.1% −7.9% MIL 30.0%
3P Att. %	6 42.1% 4 44.6%	UTA 54.7% +12.4% MIL 42.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	MIL
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	97	123
Rebounds	29	54
Assists	24	30
Steals	5	5
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	13	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (4)	39 (2)
Field Goals	39-86	48-90
At-the-Rim FG	15-20	17-25
Midrange FG	8-19	13-27
2-Point FG	23-39	30-52
3-Point FG	16-47	18-38
Free Throws	3-6	9-11
Fast Break Pts	2	9
2nd Chance Pts	14	21
Points in Paint	38	50
Pts off Turnovers	9	22
Bench Points	50	49
Biggest Lead	2	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg