Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies75%115109
30Thunder25%106115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 26.9
37.1
25.9
32
59%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
6-7
86%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
6-15
40%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.4
28.6
22.3
9
63%
7
2
2
1
2
2
2
5
3-5
60%
3-5
3-5
60%
59%
0-0
-
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.3
28.4
19.5
16
65%
8
1
0
1
0
1
3
5
8-10
80%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
2-6
33%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
23.3
20.7
3
38%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
60%
1-3
33%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
16.0
29.0
6
29%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
3-7
7-14
43%
53%
0-3
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.6
33.5
21.6
15
48%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
50%
2-9
22%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.2
19.4
19.1
10
87%
8
1
0
1
1
1
0
8
4-4
100%
3-4
4-6
75%
64%
0-0
-
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 21.7
19.3
21.5
7
31%
7
1
1
0
0
1
1
6
0-1
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
54%
1-6
17%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 21.9
16.7
23.7
7
49%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
5-5
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
58%
0-2
0%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.3
13.2
20.7
2
33%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
61%
0-1
0%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
4.6
13.3
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 23.9
12.3
1
2-3
58%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.5
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.1
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.7
30.8
27.6
24
68%
7
4
1
1
0
1
1
6
5-8
63%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.7
29.6
31.0
1
6%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-6
4-7
0%
57%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.5
26.4
15.5
23
81%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
5-8
63%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.0
22.1
20.0
9
41%
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
2-5
40%
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
16.1
14.2
7
33%
6
2
1
1
0
0
3
3
3-4
75%
2-6
2-3
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
31.9
19.8
11
45%
8
5
1
1
0
0
2
6
1-3
33%
2-5
2-4
40%
55%
2-6
33%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
21.2
20.2
14
66%
7
4
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-6
67%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
2-5
40%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.9
18.4
9.1
11
53%
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
17.6
11.8
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
2-2
100%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
15.0
3.0
7
88%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
10.8
9.4
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.6
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.4
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.2
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.5
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.