Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 17, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Grizzlies	74%	116	109	104.8	104	104.1
	30	Thunder	26%	106	115	109.5	105	104.9

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-9

108

OKC

+13

-9

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.01 50.5%

OKC

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	37.1	32	59%	4	1	0	1	1	4	2	2	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	6-15	40%
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	28.6	9	64%	7	2	2	2	2	6	2	5	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 23	28.4	16	62%	8	1	0	0	1	1	3	5	8-10	80%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	23.3	3	38%	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 23	16.0	6	30%	5	2	0	0	2	1	0	5	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%

Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 27	33.5	15	47%	1	2	2	0	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-9	22%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	19.4	10	83%	8	1	0	1	1	2	0	8	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
David Roddy #27 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 22	19.3	7	32%	7	1	1	0	1	1	1	6	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 22	16.7	7	50%	5	1	0	1	0	1	1	4	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	13.2	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kennedy Chandler #1 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 20	4.6	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Big Toe; Sprain
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-COVID Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	53	15	5	5	9	20	10	43	29-37	78%	22-45	49%	12-45	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	37.1	32	59%	4	1	0	1	1	4	2	2	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	6-15	40%
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	28.6	9	64%	7	2	2	2	2	6	2	5	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 23	28.4	16	62%	8	1	0	0	1	1	3	5	8-10	80%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	23.3	3	38%	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 23	16.0	6	30%	5	2	0	0	2	1	0	5	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%

Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 27	33.5	15	47%	1	2	2	0	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-9	22%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	19.4	10	83%	8	1	0	1	1	2	0	8	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
David Roddy #27 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 22	19.3	7	32%	7	1	1	0	1	1	1	6	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 22	16.7	7	50%	5	1	0	1	0	1	1	4	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	13.2	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kennedy Chandler #1 · PG · 6'0" 170 · 20	4.6	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Big Toe; Sprain
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-COVID Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	53	15	5	5	9	20	10	43	29-37	78%	22-45	49%	12-45	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 24	30.8	24	71%	7	4	1	0	1	3	1	6	5-8	63%	5-10	50%	3-4	75%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 22	29.6	1	6%	2	6	1	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-6	0%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 23	26.4	23	82%	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	3	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · C · 7'0" 190 · 21	22.1	9	41%	6	4	0	0	0	4	1	5	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 26	16.1	7	32%	6	2	1	0	0	3	3	3	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	31.9	11	46%	8	5	1	0	0	3	2	6	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	21.2	14	64%	7	4	0	0	1	1	1	6	4-6	67%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	18.4	11	55%	6	1	1	0	1	0	1	5	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	17.6	6	100%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20	15.0	7	88%	4	2	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	10.8	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Small, non-displaced fracture
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-COVID illness
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-COVID illness
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	53%	53	29	7	0	9	25	9	44	20-31	65%	19-47	40%	19-45	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	OKC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.01 50.5%

OKC

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

58%

OKC

52%

Midrange

MEM

38%

OKC

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

18.0

27%

40%

OKC

28.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

MEM

78%

OKC

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Brooks	32	59%	16.0 / 27
J. Jackson	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Jones	15	47%	7.5 / 16
B. Clarke	10	83%	5.0 / 6
S. Adams	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Roddy	7	32%	3.5 / 11
S. Aldama	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Morant	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Konchar	3	38%	1.5 / 4
Z. Williams	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Chandler	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dort	24	71%	12.0 / 17
I. Joe	23	82%	11.5 / 14
A. Wiggins	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Williams	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Mann	11	55%	5.5 / 10
A. Pokusevski	9	41%	4.5 / 11
E. Omoruyi	7	32%	3.5 / 11
J. Williams	7	88%	3.5 / 4
L. Waters	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Muscala	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Williams	1	6%	0.5 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 115.1 16 114.6	MEM 104.8 OKC 109.5 +4.7
Pace	8 101.1 3 101.6	MEM 104.1 OKC 104.9 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.1 29 13.8	MEM 13.8 OKC 13.7 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 54.0% 24 53.1%	MEM 44.4% OKC 51.6% +7.2%
TO %	7 12.7% 4 12.1%	MEM 8.6% OKC 8.6%
ORB %	6 26.5% 12 24.8%	MEM 18.5% +1.2% OKC 17.3%
FTrt	20 25.8 23 25.6	MEM 41.1 +7.4 OKC 33.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.6% 27 56.7%	MEM 44.1% OKC 76.3% +32.2%
STL %	4 8.2% 5 8.1%	MEM 4.8% OKC 6.7% +1.9%
BLK %	2 10.8% 24 7.9%	MEM 10.6% +10.6% OKC 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.8% 24 55.7%	MEM 50.5% OKC 52.8% +2.3%
Rim FG%	18 62.7% 30 58.7%	MEM 58.3% +6.3% OKC 52.0%
Mid FG%	15 43.1% 12 43.7%	MEM 38.1% +10.8% OKC 27.3%
3P %	23 35.1% 17 35.6%	MEM 26.7% OKC 42.2% +15.5%
FT %	30 73.2% 6 80.9%	MEM 78.4% +13.9% OKC 64.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 37.6% 3 38.9%	MEM 26.7% OKC 27.2% +0.5%
Mid Att. %	13 25.3% 11 24.2%	MEM 23.3% −0.6% OKC 23.9%
3P Att. %	16 37.2% 18 36.8%	MEM 50.0% +1.1% OKC 48.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	MEM	OKC
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	109	115
Rebounds	53	53
Assists	15	29
Steals	5	7
Blocks	5	0
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	20	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (3)	44 (3)
Field Goals	34-90	38-92
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	13-25
Midrange FG	8-21	6-22
2-Point FG	22-45	19-47
3-Point FG	12-45	19-45
Free Throws	29-37	20-31
Fast Break Pts	8	4
2nd Chance Pts	18	13
Points in Paint	38	34
Pts off Turnovers	10	12
Bench Points	43	51
Biggest Lead	5	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg