Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 19, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Blazers	52%	115	121	119.8	101	100.0
	23	Thunder	48%	114	123	123.0	100	101.9

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+16

-16

101

OKC

+17

-10

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.20 59.9%

OKC

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	41.9	26	62%	8	3	2	0	4	2	3	5	5-7	71%	9-13	69%	1-5	20%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	39.0	28	74%	3	6	1	0	4	4	0	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	6-12	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	34.5	19	59%	4	1	1	0	2	5	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	5-10	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	32.1	13	65%	8	6	0	0	0	2	2	6	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	32.0	9	90%	7	3	0	2	0	4	2	5	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	22.3	8	57%	6	2	1	0	2	5	4	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	14.2	3	38%	2	4	0	0	4	5	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	13.6	9	41%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-6	0%	3-5	60%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	10.4	6	60%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	60%	45	26	5	2	16	28	14	31	17-21	81%	28-51	55%	16-37	43%

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21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	41.9	26	62%	8	3	2	0	4	2	3	5	5-7	71%	9-13	69%	1-5	20%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	39.0	28	74%	3	6	1	0	4	4	0	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	6-12	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	34.5	19	59%	4	1	1	0	2	5	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	5-10	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	32.1	13	65%	8	6	0	0	0	2	2	6	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	32.0	9	90%	7	3	0	2	0	4	2	5	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	22.3	8	57%	6	2	1	0	2	5	4	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	14.2	3	38%	2	4	0	0	4	5	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	13.6	9	41%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-6	0%	3-5	60%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	10.4	6	60%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	60%	45	26	5	2	16	28	14	31	17-21	81%	28-51	55%	16-37	43%

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23 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24	36.0	35	58%	2	6	1	2	2	2	0	2	14-14	100%	9-23	39%	1-1	100%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	33.4	13	50%	7	4	1	1	1	2	2	5	2-3	67%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 24	31.2	13	59%	3	0	1	0	2	5	2	1	7-8	88%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 24	25.2	12	55%	4	1	1	0	0	2	2	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · C · 7'0" 190 · 21	23.2	8	36%	6	3	0	1	2	2	3	3	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	28.6	12	86%	4	2	2	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 23	23.1	11	79%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	16.3	12	120%	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	12.1	6	60%	6	1	0	0	1	2	1	5	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	10.9	1	17%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non- COVID Illness
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non COVID illness
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Small, non-displaced fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	39	20	7	5	10	21	11	28	32-37	86%	29-57	51%	11-31	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.20 59.9%

OKC

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

65%

OKC

57%

Midrange

POR

35%

OKC

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

24.0

43%

65%

OKC

16.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

POR

81%

OKC

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	28	74%	14.0 / 19
J. Grant	26	62%	13.0 / 21
A. Simons	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Hart	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Eubanks	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Johnson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Winslow	8	57%	4.0 / 7
S. Sharpe	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Watford	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	35	58%	17.5 / 30
J. Williams	13	50%	6.5 / 13
L. Dort	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Wiggins	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Williams	12	86%	6.0 / 7
M. Muscala	12	120%	6.0 / 5
I. Joe	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Pokusevski	8	36%	4.0 / 11
E. Omoruyi	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Waters	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 16 114.6	POR 119.8 OKC 123.0 +3.2
Pace	18 98.7 3 101.6	POR 100.0 OKC 101.9 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 29 13.8	POR 14.4 OKC 14.1 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 24 53.1%	POR 59.1% +7.4% OKC 51.7%
TO %	20 13.8% 4 12.1%	POR 14.1% OKC 10.3% −3.8%
ORB %	24 22.4% 12 24.8%	POR 33.3% +7.1% OKC 26.2%
FTrt	6 28.9 23 25.6	POR 23.9 OKC 42.0 +18.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 27 56.7%	POR 59.1% +9.1% OKC 50.0%
STL %	24 6.8% 5 8.1%	POR 5.0% OKC 7.0% +2.0%
BLK %	17 8.4% 24 7.9%	POR 3.5% OKC 9.8% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 24 55.7%	POR 59.9% +2.4% OKC 57.5%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 30 58.7%	POR 64.7% +7.9% OKC 56.8%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 12 43.7%	POR 35.3% OKC 40.0% +4.7%
3P %	14 36.5% 17 35.6%	POR 43.2% +7.7% OKC 35.5%
FT %	8 79.6% 6 80.9%	POR 81.0% OKC 86.5% +5.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 3 38.9%	POR 38.6% OKC 42.0% +3.4%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 11 24.2%	POR 19.3% −3.4% OKC 22.7%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 18 36.8%	POR 42.0% +6.8% OKC 35.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	POR	OKC
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.5
Points	121	123
Rebounds	45	39
Assists	26	20
Steals	5	7
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	10 (2)
Fouls	28	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	28 (2)
Field Goals	44-88	40-88
At-the-Rim FG	22-34	21-37
Midrange FG	6-17	8-20
2-Point FG	28-51	29-57
3-Point FG	16-37	11-31
Free Throws	17-21	32-37
Fast Break Pts	9	14
2nd Chance Pts	20	13
Points in Paint	52	56
Pts off Turnovers	15	17
Bench Points	26	42
Biggest Lead	10	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg