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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 19, 2022
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets24%113125
13Kings76%123119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
38.5
33.3
31
56%
9
1
1
1
1
4
1
8
4-6
67%
9-17
6-11
53%
52%
3-8
38%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.7
36.7
30.8
19
74%
5
1
1
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
50%
1-2
50%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 24.3
29.1
29.8
3
25%
9
2
0
1
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
51%
1-4
25%
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 21.3
27.5
33.2
23
61%
5
12
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
5-10
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
25.1
22.5
15
84%
4
3
0
1
3
1
0
4
1-2
50%
7-8
3-5
88%
60%
0-0
-
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 21.5
26.1
14.2
12
47%
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
7
4-6
67%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-3
0%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 24.9
25.8
22.3
6
44%
3
2
0
1
2
2
1
2
4-4
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
54%
0-4
0%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.1
22.9
21.2
14
68%
11
2
1
0
0
1
5
6
2-3
67%
6-9
3-6
67%
58%
0-0
-
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 20.3
8.4
10.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 21.9
9.2
0
1-2
54%
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.2
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.1
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.0
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 26.6
40.7
36.1
28
66%
23
7
1
1
0
1
5
18
2-5
40%
10-17
6-10
59%
63%
2-2
100%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.0
33.7
35.2
37
64%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
7-9
78%
12-20
7-12
60%
57%
2-5
40%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 24.3
31.8
24.0
9
38%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-3
2-4
0%
56%
3-8
38%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.3
31.0
30.1
11
56%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
56%
3-5
60%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
29.5
33.7
11
52%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
5-8
63%
3-5
3-5
60%
57%
0-2
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
24.7
25.2
12
41%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
58%
1-6
17%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 24.3
21.2
12.7
7
88%
1
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
14.7
16.4
2
23%
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-3
0%
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 23.4
7.3
0.9
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
56%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.1
5.3
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 25.7
6.7
0
1-2
61%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 32.3
6.1
0
0-1
44%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.6
3.7
0
0-0
57%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
3.6
0
1-1
65%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 29.5
1.3
0
0-0
59%
Chima Moneke
F · 6'6" 223 · 27.0
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.