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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 21, 2022
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls42%115110
20Hawks58%118108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.4
37.8
36.2
28
55%
6
5
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
12-22
8-16
55%
52%
0-1
0%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.3
37.0
30.9
11
50%
8
1
0
1
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
36.9
33.4
22
59%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
7-14
5-10
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.2
33.1
33.3
20
56%
7
2
1
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
54%
2-7
29%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 28.8
10.9
23.4
5
125%
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
34.4
13.2
9
75%
3
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
59%
1-3
33%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.8
29.7
22.5
10
47%
4
5
2
0
0
3
0
4
5-6
83%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.4
14.9
7.4
5
64%
11
0
0
0
0
2
1
10
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.4
5.2
1.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 24.9
2.1
0
0-0
61%
Malcolm Hill
F · 6'6" 220 · 27.2
0.2
0
0-0
100%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.6
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.0
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.2
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 25.8
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
40.2
25.0
18
60%
11
1
0
1
5
1
5
6
2-2
100%
8-14
4-6
57%
65%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 26.3
40.0
28.2
15
43%
5
10
0
1
0
5
0
5
1-1
100%
7-14
5-9
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 24.3
38.1
35.0
34
61%
6
6
1
1
0
5
2
4
9-9
100%
2-10
7-13
20%
52%
7-14
50%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
37.8
31.0
10
46%
9
2
0
1
2
0
2
7
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
0-4
0%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
21.2
24.4
4
40%
7
0
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
62%
0-2
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
29.9
31.0
13
50%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
3-6
50%
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 19.3
21.4
25.4
14
100%
3
0
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
56%
4-6
67%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 29.7
4.7
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 21.0
4.0
16.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-1
0%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 26.2
2.6
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
13.5
0
1-3
55%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 33.7
6.6
0
0-1
49%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 22.5
3.7
0
0-0
54%
Tyrese Martin
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
2.1
0
0-0
52%
Jarrett Culver
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.