Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Pacers	22%	108	117	112.5	104	99.6
	1	Celtics	78%	119	112	107.7	104	108.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	34.4	8	44%	5	5	1	1	2	4	2	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	34.0	33	63%	3	8	1	0	2	0	1	2	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	6-13	46%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	29.9	8	57%	5	5	1	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 23	27.9	15	54%	6	3	2	0	1	5	1	5	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	26.6	10	63%	6	3	1	0	2	4	0	6	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.7	7	39%	4	0	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	21.3	8	67%	9	1	0	1	2	3	3	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	17.0	8	67%	5	0	1	0	2	1	2	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	14.9	14	70%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	4-5	80%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	10.3	6	43%	1	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Tibia; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	47	27	10	3	14	22	12	35	7-9	78%	28-59	47%	18-39	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	34.4	8	44%	5	5	1	1	2	4	2	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	34.0	33	63%	3	8	1	0	2	0	1	2	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	6-13	46%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	29.9	8	57%	5	5	1	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 23	27.9	15	54%	6	3	2	0	1	5	1	5	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	26.6	10	63%	6	3	1	0	2	4	0	6	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.7	7	39%	4	0	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	21.3	8	67%	9	1	0	1	2	3	3	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	17.0	8	67%	5	0	1	0	2	1	2	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	14.9	14	70%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	4-5	80%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	10.3	6	43%	1	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Tibia; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	47	27	10	3	14	22	12	35	7-9	78%	28-59	47%	18-39	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	41.0	41	64%	5	4	2	1	2	0	1	4	11-13	85%	9-14	64%	4-11	36%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 26	36.2	19	40%	10	2	1	0	4	1	4	6	2-2	100%	7-18	39%	1-5	20%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	28.3	6	50%	6	4	1	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	26.4	2	13%	6	3	1	1	3	3	1	5	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-3	0%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	17.4	3	38%	2	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Malcolm Brogdon #13 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 30	29.7	18	53%	4	7	2	0	2	0	0	4	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25	22.3	6	60%	12	2	1	1	2	1	7	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	17.7	10	63%	6	0	2	1	1	0	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 24	15.9	7	44%	6	0	1	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 27	5.0	0	0%	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Blake Griffin #91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #4 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Jackson #43 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mfiondu Kabengele #28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Repair
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	48%	62	26	11	5	16	9	25	37	21-25	84%	26-60	43%	13-41	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	IND	BOS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.14 56.8%

BOS

0.95 47.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

21

30

70%

BOS

22

47

47%

Midrange

IND

7

29

24%

BOS

4

13

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

18

27.0

39

46%

69%

BOS

13

19.5

41

32%

48%

Free Throws

IND

7

9

78%

BOS

21

25

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	33	63%	16.5 / 26
A. Nesmith	15	54%	7.5 / 14
C. Duarte	14	70%	7.0 / 10
M. Turner	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Nembhard	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Hield	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Smith	8	67%	4.0 / 6
O. Brissett	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Mathurin	7	39%	3.5 / 9
T. McConnell	6	43%	3.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	41	64%	20.5 / 32
J. Brown	19	40%	9.5 / 24
M. Brogdon	18	53%	9.0 / 17
S. Hauser	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Williams	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Horford	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Williams	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Pritchard	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. White	2	13%	1.0 / 8
L. Kornet	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 114.3 2 117.6	IND 112.5 +4.8 BOS 107.7
Pace	5 101.3 17 98.8	IND 99.6 BOS 108.8 +9.1
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 8 14.8	IND 14.5 BOS 13.2 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.5% 4 56.6%	IND 56.1% +11.1% BOS 45.0%
TO %	21 13.9% 6 12.7%	IND 12.1% −1.1% BOS 13.2%
ORB %	18 23.4% 25 22.1%	IND 24.5% BOS 41.7% +17.2%
FTrt	15 26.5 27 24.3	IND 9.2 BOS 24.8 +15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 64.3% 5 63.2%	IND 58.7% BOS 66.7% +8.0%
STL %	11 7.6% 27 6.3%	IND 9.6% BOS 10.6% +1.0%
BLK %	3 10.4% 9 9.3%	IND 5.0% BOS 8.5% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.7% 4 58.7%	IND 56.8% +9.3% BOS 47.5%
Rim FG%	28 60.5% 8 65.1%	IND 70.0% +23.2% BOS 46.8%
Mid FG%	17 42.8% 18 42.8%	IND 24.1% BOS 30.8% +6.7%
3P %	11 36.7% 6 37.7%	IND 46.2% +14.5% BOS 31.7%
FT %	13 79.0% 4 81.2%	IND 77.8% BOS 84.0% +6.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.2% 24 32.3%	IND 30.6% BOS 46.5% +15.9%
Mid Att. %	5 21.6% 1 19.7%	IND 29.6% BOS 12.9% −16.7%
3P Att. %	8 41.2% 2 48.0%	IND 39.8% BOS 40.6% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.

Game Totals	IND	BOS
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	117	112
Rebounds	47	62
Assists	27	26
Steals	10	11
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	22	9
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	25 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	37 (4)
Field Goals	46-98	39-101
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	22-47
Midrange FG	7-29	4-13
2-Point FG	28-59	26-60
3-Point FG	18-39	13-41
Free Throws	7-9	21-25
Fast Break Pts	17	21
2nd Chance Pts	16	32
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	19	16
Bench Points	43	41
Biggest Lead	30	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg