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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 21, 2022
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pacers23%108117
1Celtics77%119112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 22.9
34.4
28.4
8
44%
5
5
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
34.0
31.9
33
64%
3
8
1
2
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
6-11
4-7
55%
53%
6-13
46%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 29.0
29.9
28.9
8
57%
5
5
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
2-3
67%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
27.9
26.3
15
54%
6
3
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
52%
1-5
20%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
26.6
31.0
10
59%
6
3
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
58%
1-2
50%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 20.5
23.7
29.3
7
39%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 22.8
21.3
13.1
8
67%
9
1
0
0
1
2
3
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
2-4
50%
Oshae Brissett
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.5
17.0
11.4
8
68%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.5
14.9
14.7
14
70%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
4-5
80%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.7
10.3
16.1
6
43%
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.9
12.9
0
2-4
55%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.4
2.7
0
0-1
58%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 35.8
1.7
0
0-0
52%
Trevelin Queen
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.8
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.2
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 30.7
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.8
41.0
36.9
41
67%
5
4
2
1
1
2
1
4
11-13
85%
9-14
7-12
64%
54%
4-11
36%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 26.2
36.2
36.2
19
40%
10
2
1
1
0
4
4
6
2-2
100%
7-18
7-13
39%
58%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
28.3
28.2
6
50%
6
4
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
2-5
40%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.5
26.4
25.4
2
13%
6
3
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
0-4
2-3
0%
53%
0-3
0%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
17.4
4.9
3
38%
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 30.0
29.7
27.2
18
54%
4
7
2
1
0
2
0
4
6-8
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
2-7
29%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 25.2
22.3
19.2
6
60%
12
2
1
1
1
2
7
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-4
60%
71%
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 25.0
17.7
13.6
10
63%
6
0
2
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
64%
2-4
50%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.1
15.9
27.1
7
44%
6
0
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
60%
1-3
33%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 27.4
5.0
10.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
66%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 33.8
8.6
0
1-1
54%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
1.6
0
0-0
56%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
1.3
0
0-0
56%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 34.4
JD Davison
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.2
Mfiondu Kabengele
F · 6'10" 256 · 25.4
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.