Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 21, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Blazers	58%	116	98	104.3	94	88.4
	23	Thunder	42%	113	101	107.4	94	100.3

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+11

-18

OKC

+15

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.13 56.3%

OKC

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	36.4	16	40%	2	8	2	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	2-11	18%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	35.5	17	57%	5	4	0	1	2	2	0	5	1-3	33%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	35.0	13	81%	5	2	1	0	5	5	1	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	29.6	12	55%	1	4	1	1	3	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-9	44%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	22.6	12	75%	6	4	1	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%

Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	19.9	6	60%	7	3	3	1	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	19.3	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	18.1	8	80%	7	1	1	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	15.7	3	30%	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	7.8	3	150%	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	56%	36	29	9	5	18	22	9	27	6-9	67%	25-43	58%	14-36	39%

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17 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	36.4	16	40%	2	8	2	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	2-11	18%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	35.5	17	57%	5	4	0	1	2	2	0	5	1-3	33%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	35.0	13	81%	5	2	1	0	5	5	1	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	29.6	12	55%	1	4	1	1	3	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-9	44%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	22.6	12	75%	6	4	1	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%

Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	19.9	6	60%	7	3	3	1	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	19.3	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	18.1	8	80%	7	1	1	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	15.7	3	30%	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	7.8	3	150%	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	56%	36	29	9	5	18	22	9	27	6-9	67%	25-43	58%	14-36	39%

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23 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	38.5	14	58%	3	3	1	1	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24	35.5	27	54%	6	3	2	1	5	3	0	6	11-13	85%	8-16	50%	0-3	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	30.9	13	72%	6	6	1	0	3	0	2	4	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	30.4	15	75%	4	1	0	0	3	2	0	4	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · C · 7'0" 190 · 21	20.1	6	38%	3	2	2	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	26.8	9	56%	7	2	2	0	1	0	4	3	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	20.5	6	60%	1	0	0	1	0	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 23	17.6	6	60%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	9.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	6.8	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	3.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Small, non-displaced fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	37	19	9	3	18	16	9	28	21-25	84%	28-53	53%	8-24	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.13 56.3%

OKC

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

73%

OKC

63%

Midrange

POR

35%

OKC

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

21.0

39%

58%

OKC

12.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

POR

67%

OKC

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	17	57%	8.5 / 15
D. Lillard	16	40%	8.0 / 20
J. Hart	13	81%	6.5 / 8
A. Simons	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Nurkić	12	75%	6.0 / 8
S. Sharpe	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Watford	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Eubanks	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Winslow	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Johnson	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	27	54%	13.5 / 25
J. Williams	15	75%	7.5 / 10
L. Dort	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Giddey	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Williams	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Pokusevski	6	38%	3.0 / 8
M. Muscala	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Joe	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Waters	3	150%	1.5 / 1
E. Omoruyi	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Wiggins	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 16 114.6	POR 104.3 OKC 107.4 +3.2
Pace	18 98.7 3 101.6	POR 88.4 OKC 100.3 +11.9
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 29 13.8	POR 16.3 OKC 14.4 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 24 53.1%	POR 58.2% +6.3% OKC 51.9%
TO %	20 13.8% 4 12.1%	POR 19.4% OKC 17.0% −2.4%
ORB %	24 22.4% 12 24.8%	POR 24.3% OKC 25.0% +0.7%
FTrt	6 28.9 23 25.6	POR 11.4 OKC 32.5 +21.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 27 56.7%	POR 74.4% +21.6% OKC 52.8%
STL %	24 6.8% 5 8.1%	POR 9.6% OKC 9.6%
BLK %	17 8.4% 24 7.9%	POR 9.4% +2.4% OKC 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 24 55.7%	POR 56.3% +0.8% OKC 55.5%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 30 58.7%	POR 73.1% +10.1% OKC 63.0%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 12 43.7%	POR 35.3% OKC 42.3% +7.0%
3P %	14 36.5% 17 35.6%	POR 38.9% +5.6% OKC 33.3%
FT %	8 79.6% 6 80.9%	POR 66.7% OKC 84.0% +17.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 3 38.9%	POR 32.9% OKC 35.1% +2.2%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 11 24.2%	POR 21.5% −12.2% OKC 33.8%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 18 36.8%	POR 45.6% +14.4% OKC 31.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	POR	OKC
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	98	101
Rebounds	36	37
Assists	29	19
Steals	9	9
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	18 (0)
Fouls	22	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	28 (3)
Field Goals	39-79	36-77
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	17-27
Midrange FG	6-17	11-26
2-Point FG	25-43	28-53
3-Point FG	14-36	8-24
Free Throws	6-9	21-25
Fast Break Pts	9	6
2nd Chance Pts	14	16
Points in Paint	48	52
Pts off Turnovers	20	14
Bench Points	28	26
Biggest Lead	14	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg