Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Blazers	40%	115	107	112.6	95	95.3
	7	Nuggets	60%	119	120	125.0	96	97.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	38.9	14	30%	1	3	0	0	2	4	1	0	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	1-10	10%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	38.6	34	68%	7	8	0	0	0	2	2	5	10-10	100%	6-11	55%	4-11	36%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	37.3	20	71%	7	2	1	0	2	3	2	5	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	37.1	14	78%	11	6	1	0	3	2	2	9	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	21.4	11	55%	7	3	1	2	4	6	2	5	2-4	50%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%

Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	26.6	2	50%	5	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	15.8	6	60%	1	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	13.7	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	10.7	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	43	24	5	3	13	21	13	30	20-26	77%	30-52	58%	9-35	26%

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16 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	38.9	14	30%	1	3	0	0	2	4	1	0	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	1-10	10%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	38.6	34	68%	7	8	0	0	0	2	2	5	10-10	100%	6-11	55%	4-11	36%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	37.3	20	71%	7	2	1	0	2	3	2	5	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	37.1	14	78%	11	6	1	0	3	2	2	9	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	21.4	11	55%	7	3	1	2	4	6	2	5	2-4	50%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%

Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	26.6	2	50%	5	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	15.8	6	60%	1	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	13.7	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	10.7	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	43	24	5	3	13	21	13	30	20-26	77%	30-52	58%	9-35	26%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	39.3	25	66%	8	12	2	0	3	2	0	8	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	35.7	29	60%	8	11	2	0	2	4	2	6	5-8	63%	12-21	57%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	34.2	14	78%	2	0	2	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	32.0	13	65%	6	1	0	1	1	0	0	6	1-3	33%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	27.0	18	64%	5	2	1	0	1	2	1	4	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	27.3	9	75%	3	4	1	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	16.3	7	58%	3	1	1	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	16.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	12.3	3	75%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	64%	38	31	9	2	10	19	4	34	16-26	62%	37-60	62%	10-21	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.09 54.6%

DEN

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

21

30

70%

DEN

30

39

77%

Midrange

POR

9

22

41%

DEN

7

21

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

9

13.5

35

26%

39%

DEN

10

15.0

21

48%

71%

Free Throws

POR

20

26

77%

DEN

16

26

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	34	68%	17.0 / 25
J. Grant	20	71%	10.0 / 14
A. Simons	14	30%	7.0 / 23
J. Hart	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Nurkić	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Johnson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Watford	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Eubanks	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Sharpe	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	60%	14.5 / 24
J. Murray	25	66%	12.5 / 19
M. Porter	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. Caldwell-Pope	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Gordon	13	65%	6.5 / 10
B. Brown	9	75%	4.5 / 6
B. Hyland	7	58%	3.5 / 6
Z. Nnaji	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Green	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 5 117.1	POR 112.6 DEN 125.0 +12.4
Pace	18 98.7 21 98.5	POR 95.3 DEN 97.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 13 14.7	POR 15.1 DEN 14.8 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 1 57.3%	POR 50.0% DEN 64.2% +14.2%
TO %	20 13.8% 22 14.0%	POR 12.5% DEN 10.6% −1.9%
ORB %	24 22.4% 13 24.8%	POR 27.7% +15.9% DEN 11.8%
FTrt	6 28.9 19 25.9	POR 29.9 DEN 32.1 +2.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 2 66.3%	POR 61.5% DEN 66.0% +4.5%
STL %	24 6.8% 9 7.6%	POR 5.3% DEN 9.4% +4.1%
BLK %	17 8.4% 19 8.3%	POR 5.0% +1.2% DEN 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 5 58.7%	POR 54.6% DEN 63.8% +9.2%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 3 66.5%	POR 70.0% DEN 76.9% +6.9%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 13 43.4%	POR 40.9% +7.6% DEN 33.3%
3P %	14 36.5% 4 37.9%	POR 25.7% DEN 47.6% +21.9%
FT %	8 79.6% 26 75.1%	POR 76.9% +15.4% DEN 61.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 2 39.0%	POR 34.5% DEN 48.1% +13.7%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 12 24.9%	POR 25.3% −0.6% DEN 25.9%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 21 36.1%	POR 40.2% +14.3% DEN 25.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	23.9	23.6
Points	107	120
Rebounds	43	38
Assists	24	31
Steals	5	9
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	21	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	34 (3)
Field Goals	39-87	47-81
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	30-39
Midrange FG	9-22	7-21
2-Point FG	30-52	37-60
3-Point FG	9-35	10-21
Free Throws	20-26	16-26
Fast Break Pts	13	18
2nd Chance Pts	11	11
Points in Paint	52	66
Pts off Turnovers	12	16
Bench Points	14	21
Biggest Lead	6	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg