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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 23, 2022
10:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hornets44%114134
26Lakers56%116130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
37.7
25.2
23
77%
4
6
2
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
5-8
63%
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 21.3
37.4
32.8
23
50%
8
8
3
2
0
4
1
7
1-2
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
4-12
33%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.8
31.1
32.9
15
76%
6
4
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
5-5
4-8
100%
50%
1-4
25%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 24.3
31.1
30.0
24
75%
5
4
2
1
2
1
3
2
5-7
71%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
3-6
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
30.6
24.1
11
70%
8
3
1
1
2
1
3
5
1-2
50%
5-7
4-6
71%
61%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
30.6
31.9
19
60%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
7-9
6-11
78%
53%
1-6
17%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 24.9
18.7
25.5
7
70%
1
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.1
12.3
18.0
5
73%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 21.5
10.6
17.6
7
60%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
1-4
25%
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 20.3
11.1
0
1-1
53%
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 21.9
5.6
0
1-1
54%
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.0
1.3
0
0-0
51%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.2
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.1
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 38.0
33.9
34.1
34
71%
2
8
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
11-15
9-14
73%
61%
4-8
50%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.4
33.5
25.2
8
50%
13
1
0
1
0
2
0
13
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
66%
2-3
67%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.4
29.9
24.4
11
110%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
3-3
100%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 24.0
27.4
30.5
15
49%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
4-5
80%
1-4
3-7
25%
53%
3-9
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 29.3
26.7
27.9
9
45%
4
5
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
1-5
20%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.6
28.7
21.4
20
76%
2
2
1
0
0
3
1
1
5-7
71%
3-4
2-3
75%
63%
3-6
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.1
24.6
17.5
17
62%
5
7
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 25.7
16.4
15.3
13
96%
7
0
0
0
1
1
5
2
3-4
75%
5-5
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.9
10.3
21.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.4
8.7
15.8
3
30%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
1-5
20%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
10.5
0
2-2
68%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.4
9.9
0
1-2
54%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.1
7.0
0
1-1
51%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
1.6
0
0-0
53%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 29.8
Juan Toscano-Anderson
F · 6'6" 209 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.