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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 25, 2022
2:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Lakers
115
14Mavericks
124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 38.0
34
34
38
6
5
0
1
0
2
0
6
12-12
100%
13-19
8-13
68%
58%
0-4
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.5
32
26
8
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 24.0
29
29
9
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
3-6
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 29.3
28
27
7
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.4
19
28
8
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
4-7
100%
63%
0-1
0%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.6
29
24
16
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
5-5
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
61%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.1
24
20
17
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
5-11
3-7
45%
48%
2-5
40%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.4
18
13
3
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 25.7
18
16
2
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.9
5
17
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.4
3
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
2
7
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
0-0
1-1
-
65%
0-0
-
Juan Toscano-Anderson
F · 6'6" 209 · 29.7
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.1
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 29.8
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.7
40
34
8
2
8
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
51%
2-6
33%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 23.8
39
36
32
9
9
2
1
0
3
3
6
12-16
75%
7-13
8-14
54%
57%
2-3
67%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 30.8
39
32
26
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
50%
6-14
43%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 27.2
38
28
30
8
7
4
1
2
2
2
6
4-6
67%
10-11
4-7
91%
60%
2-6
33%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 31.8
35
30
14
3
4
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
4-7
57%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
15
15
4
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
69%
0-0
-
McKinley Wright IV
G · 5'11" 192 · 24.2
13
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-1
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 30.1
11
13
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
2-5
40%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 27.1
7
7
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-2
0%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 20.5
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 26.9
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.4
15
1
1-2
44%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 34.9
4
0
1-1
62%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.1
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 30.9
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.