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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 25, 2022
5:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Bucks35%107118
1Celtics65%113139
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.5
37
33
23
6
7
2
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
51%
3-6
50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 28.1
35
35
27
9
3
0
1
0
3
1
8
8-12
67%
8-17
10-17
47%
60%
1-5
20%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 34.7
32
29
16
5
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
1-2
50%
6-6
3-6
100%
59%
1-2
50%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
30
21
15
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
4-7
57%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 27.2
29
27
8
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 27.9
23
24
4
9
1
0
0
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 35.2
19
16
11
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
55%
2-6
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 36.2
15
6
2
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-2
0%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 27.3
13
23
7
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-1
100%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 22.2
4
16
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
4
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 36.6
7
0
0-1
53%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.3
5
0
0-1
44%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 30.4
3
0
0-1
55%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
3
0
0-1
56%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 31.4
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 26.2
37
36
29
5
4
1
1
0
4
0
5
2-6
33%
6-10
7-13
60%
56%
5-9
56%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.8
36
36
41
7
5
3
1
0
1
0
7
10-10
100%
11-15
7-12
73%
53%
3-7
43%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.5
30
28
12
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
30
35
6
3
8
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
30
31
11
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
56%
3-6
50%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.1
26
22
11
6
3
2
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
3-5
60%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 30.0
17
22
9
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 25.2
14
20
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-4
75%
70%
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 25.0
7
12
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
62%
2-4
50%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 33.8
6
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 27.4
4
9
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
62%
0-0
-
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
3
7
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Mfiondu Kabengele
F · 6'10" 256 · 25.4
2
0
0-0
55%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
1
0
0-0
52%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
1
0
0-0
50%
JD Davison
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.2
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.