Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Timberwolves	51%	109	110	112.2	98	108.2
	21	Heat	49%	108	113	115.3	98	89.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 21	39.9	29	85%	6	7	2	1	8	3	1	5	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	5-8	63%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	36.2	13	59%	3	8	0	0	6	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	32.2	10	63%	5	4	1	0	1	1	0	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30	31.2	10	63%	8	0	0	0	2	0	1	7	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 22	29.8	16	80%	4	3	1	1	2	2	2	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	29.3	21	62%	11	2	0	1	3	1	2	9	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	20.4	5	36%	3	6	0	0	0	3	2	1	0-1	0%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	13.9	6	75%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	6.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Subluxation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	63%	44	31	4	3	22	14	8	36	9-14	64%	28-45	62%	15-34	44%

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17 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 21	39.9	29	85%	6	7	2	1	8	3	1	5	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	5-8	63%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	36.2	13	59%	3	8	0	0	6	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	32.2	10	63%	5	4	1	0	1	1	0	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30	31.2	10	63%	8	0	0	0	2	0	1	7	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 22	29.8	16	80%	4	3	1	1	2	2	2	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	29.3	21	62%	11	2	0	1	3	1	2	9	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	20.4	5	36%	3	6	0	0	0	3	2	1	0-1	0%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	13.9	6	75%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	6.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Subluxation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	63%	44	31	4	3	22	14	8	36	9-14	64%	28-45	62%	15-34	44%

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21 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.5	14	37%	2	8	3	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-8	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	33.6	18	56%	5	9	1	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	28.3	8	33%	8	1	0	0	1	0	3	5	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	24.6	19	79%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	5-10	50%
Nikola Jović #5 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	18.9	9	56%	3	0	0	1	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%

Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	26.8	15	83%	9	4	1	1	1	5	7	2	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	22.0	3	30%	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	19.4	7	50%	2	4	2	0	2	0	0	2	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	17.8	11	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	14.1	9	90%	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Non-Covid Illness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Plantar Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	40	27	9	3	9	17	13	27	6-8	75%	34-53	64%	13-49	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.26 63.2%

MIA

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

14

20

70%

MIA

16

23

70%

Midrange

MIN

14

25

56%

MIA

18

30

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

15

22.5

34

44%

66%

MIA

13

19.5

49

27%

40%

Free Throws

MIN

9

14

64%

MIA

6

8

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	29	85%	14.5 / 17
N. Reid	21	62%	10.5 / 17
J. McDaniels	16	80%	8.0 / 10
D. Russell	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Rivers	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Gobert	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Ryan	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Nowell	5	36%	2.5 / 7
B. Forbes	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Strus	19	79%	9.5 / 12
K. Lowry	18	56%	9.0 / 16
O. Robinson	15	83%	7.5 / 9
T. Herro	14	37%	7.0 / 19
G. Vincent	11	50%	5.5 / 11
N. Jović	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Robinson	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Martin	8	33%	4.0 / 12
V. Oladipo	7	50%	3.5 / 7
H. Highsmith	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 113.7 25 112.9	MIN 112.2 MIA 115.3 +3.1
Pace	10 101.0 29 96.3	MIN 108.2 +18.7 MIA 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 5 15.0	MIN 13.3 −2.8 MIA 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.0% 25 53.0%	MIN 63.9% +11.4% MIA 52.5%
TO %	27 14.5% 15 13.2%	MIN 20.5% MIA 8.7% −11.8%
ORB %	27 21.5% 21 22.8%	MIN 22.9% MIA 26.5% +3.6%
FTrt	12 27.0 13 27.0	MIN 17.7 +9.9 MIA 7.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 61.0% 14 60.8%	MIN 72.1% +14.7% MIA 57.4%
STL %	7 7.9% 3 8.2%	MIN 4.1% MIA 9.2% +5.1%
BLK %	6 9.8% 29 6.3%	MIN 5.7% MIA 6.7% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.0% 22 55.9%	MIN 63.2% +9.9% MIA 53.3%
Rim FG%	9 64.9% 20 62.6%	MIN 70.0% +0.4% MIA 69.6%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 7 45.3%	MIN 56.0% MIA 60.0% +4.0%
3P %	13 36.5% 27 34.4%	MIN 44.1% +17.6% MIA 26.5%
FT %	24 75.5% 2 83.1%	MIN 64.3% MIA 75.0% +10.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 38.7% 29 29.9%	MIN 25.3% +2.8% MIA 22.5%
Mid Att. %	8 23.2% 24 29.4%	MIN 31.6% MIA 29.4% −2.2%
3P Att. %	14 38.1% 9 40.8%	MIN 43.0% MIA 48.0% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	MIA
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	21.7	26.3
Points	110	113
Rebounds	44	40
Assists	31	27
Steals	4	9
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	22 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	14	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	27 (3)
Field Goals	43-79	47-102
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	16-23
Midrange FG	14-25	18-30
2-Point FG	28-45	34-53
3-Point FG	15-34	13-49
Free Throws	9-14	6-8
Fast Break Pts	4	9
2nd Chance Pts	13	16
Points in Paint	52	64
Pts off Turnovers	12	15
Bench Points	32	45
Biggest Lead	3	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg