Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 27, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	63%	122	113	114.1	99	95.2
	22	Kings	37%	118	106	107.1	99	103.2

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-13

SAC

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.15 57.7%

SAC

1.15 57.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	37.8	25	69%	5	7	2	0	1	1	1	4	8-8	100%	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	36.9	20	77%	9	11	1	0	0	3	0	9	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.6	11	42%	3	3	1	1	3	0	2	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	29.6	30	71%	6	2	2	0	2	3	1	5	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	5-9	56%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	15.3	0	0%	6	0	0	0	1	6	3	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%

Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	29.5	8	80%	4	3	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	19.2	5	28%	1	6	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	13.7	4	50%	3	2	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	9.0	4	67%	2	0	2	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	8.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	6.7	4	100%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	3.1	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	40	34	12	3	13	18	10	30	18-21	86%	28-49	57%	13-37	35%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	37.8	25	69%	5	7	2	0	1	1	1	4	8-8	100%	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	36.9	20	77%	9	11	1	0	0	3	0	9	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.6	11	42%	3	3	1	1	3	0	2	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	29.6	30	71%	6	2	2	0	2	3	1	5	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	5-9	56%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	15.3	0	0%	6	0	0	0	1	6	3	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%

Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	29.5	8	80%	4	3	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	19.2	5	28%	1	6	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	13.7	4	50%	3	2	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	9.0	4	67%	2	0	2	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	8.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	6.7	4	100%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	3.1	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	40	34	12	3	13	18	10	30	18-21	86%	28-49	57%	13-37	35%

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22 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	37.1	21	70%	4	1	2	0	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	32.8	13	59%	8	1	1	0	0	3	2	6	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	31.3	11	79%	2	1	2	1	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 25	30.5	26	68%	1	4	0	0	5	1	0	1	3-5	60%	7-11	64%	3-5	60%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	13.9	2	50%	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	26.3	8	36%	2	1	1	1	2	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 27	24.1	11	50%	10	1	0	0	3	1	1	9	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-6	17%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29	23.1	8	57%	7	2	0	0	0	3	2	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 24	17.7	6	38%	0	9	2	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
KZ Okpala #30 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 24	3.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terence Davis #3 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chimezie Metu #7 · C · 6'10" 219 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matthew Dellavedova #8 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chima Moneke #19 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 23	INACTIVE
Domantas Sabonis #10 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	39	20	8	2	16	18	8	31	16-19	84%	30-47	64%	10-35	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.15 57.7%

SAC

1.15 57.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

78%

SAC

75%

Midrange

DEN

32%

SAC

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19.5

35%

53%

SAC

15.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

DEN

86%

SAC

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	30	71%	15.0 / 21
J. Murray	25	69%	12.5 / 18
N. Jokić	20	77%	10.0 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	42%	5.5 / 13
V. Cancar	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Hyland	5	28%	2.5 / 9
C. Braun	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Reed	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Brown	2	33%	1.0 / 3
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 3
I. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	26	68%	13.0 / 19
K. Huerter	21	70%	10.5 / 15
H. Barnes	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Murray	11	79%	5.5 / 7
T. Lyles	11	50%	5.5 / 11
M. Monk	8	36%	4.0 / 11
R. Holmes	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Mitchell	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Len	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 1 119.1	DEN 114.1 +7.1 SAC 107.1
Pace	21 98.5 11 100.6	DEN 95.2 SAC 103.2 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 30 13.7	DEN 15.1 SAC 14.0 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 2 57.2%	DEN 55.2% +0.3% SAC 54.9%
TO %	22 14.0% 10 12.9%	DEN 12.0% −3.0% SAC 15.0%
ORB %	13 24.8% 22 22.7%	DEN 24.4% +3.3% SAC 21.1%
FTrt	19 25.9 9 28.4	DEN 24.4 +1.2 SAC 23.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 7 62.6%	DEN 82.9% +32.9% SAC 50.0%
STL %	9 7.6% 22 6.9%	DEN 12.1% +4.0% SAC 8.1%
BLK %	19 8.3% 30 6.0%	DEN 6.4% +2.3% SAC 4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 1 59.6%	DEN 57.7% +0.1% SAC 57.6%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 4 66.4%	DEN 77.8% +2.8% SAC 75.0%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 3 46.5%	DEN 31.8% SAC 52.2% +20.4%
3P %	4 37.9% 9 36.9%	DEN 35.1% +6.5% SAC 28.6%
FT %	26 75.1% 12 79.0%	DEN 85.7% +1.5% SAC 84.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 14 35.2%	DEN 31.4% +2.1% SAC 29.3%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 7 22.5%	DEN 25.6% −2.5% SAC 28.0%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 5 42.3%	DEN 43.0% +0.3% SAC 42.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAC
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	113	106
Rebounds	40	39
Assists	34	20
Steals	12	8
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	31 (3)
Field Goals	41-86	40-82
At-the-Rim FG	21-27	18-24
Midrange FG	7-22	12-23
2-Point FG	28-49	30-47
3-Point FG	13-37	10-35
Free Throws	18-21	16-19
Fast Break Pts	16	2
2nd Chance Pts	10	10
Points in Paint	52	54
Pts off Turnovers	23	10
Bench Points	27	33
Biggest Lead	9	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg