Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 28, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	52%	118	126	126.0	100	87.6
	17	Kings	48%	117	127	127.0	100	116.5

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+11

-16

SAC

+15

-12

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.33 66.3%

SAC

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	34.7	19	73%	7	1	0	3	4	2	1	6	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	33.4	20	63%	5	11	0	0	1	2	1	4	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	3-6	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	32.5	40	69%	7	6	1	1	5	3	1	6	10-10	100%	15-21	71%	0-3	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.9	7	50%	3	3	3	0	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	30.9	14	78%	3	0	1	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-1	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.9	9	90%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	15.5	1	17%	7	0	0	1	2	1	1	6	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	15.3	9	113%	0	2	0	1	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	14.6	4	50%	1	5	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	8.2	3	50%	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	66%	34	31	6	8	16	24	7	27	16-18	89%	37-58	64%	12-27	44%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	34.7	19	73%	7	1	0	3	4	2	1	6	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	33.4	20	63%	5	11	0	0	1	2	1	4	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	3-6	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	32.5	40	69%	7	6	1	1	5	3	1	6	10-10	100%	15-21	71%	0-3	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.9	7	50%	3	3	3	0	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	30.9	14	78%	3	0	1	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-1	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.9	9	90%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	15.5	1	17%	7	0	0	1	2	1	1	6	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	15.3	9	113%	0	2	0	1	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	14.6	4	50%	1	5	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	8.2	3	50%	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	66%	34	31	6	8	16	24	7	27	16-18	89%	37-58	64%	12-27	44%

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17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	38.1	31	70%	10	5	1	1	2	5	3	7	5-8	63%	10-16	63%	2-2	100%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 25	36.9	31	67%	2	13	1	0	4	1	0	2	5-5	100%	10-15	67%	2-6	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	23.8	8	36%	2	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	4-6	67%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	20.6	5	36%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	17.6	6	60%	2	1	1	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	30.0	33	72%	2	3	1	0	2	2	0	2	5-6	83%	8-13	62%	4-8	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 27	24.4	5	83%	9	4	2	0	0	1	3	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 24	21.1	5	63%	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
KZ Okpala #30 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 24	17.6	3	150%	2	1	1	3	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29	9.9	0	0%	1	0	1	2	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terence Davis #3 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matthew Dellavedova #8 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chimezie Metu #7 · C · 6'10" 219 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chima Moneke #19 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	62%	34	32	10	6	12	17	11	23	19-25	76%	33-58	57%	14-31	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.33 66.3%

SAC

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

71%

SAC

66%

Midrange

DEN

57%

SAC

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18.0

44%

67%

SAC

21.0

45%

68%

Free Throws

DEN

89%

SAC

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	40	69%	20.0 / 29
B. Hyland	20	63%	10.0 / 16
M. Porter	19	73%	9.5 / 13
Z. Nnaji	14	78%	7.0 / 9
C. Braun	9	90%	4.5 / 5
V. Cancar	9	113%	4.5 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Smith	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Reed	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Jordan	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Monk	33	72%	16.5 / 23
D. Sabonis	31	70%	15.5 / 22
D. Fox	31	67%	15.5 / 23
H. Barnes	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Huerter	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Murray	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Lyles	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Mitchell	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Okpala	3	150%	1.5 / 1
R. Holmes	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 1 119.1	DEN 126.0 SAC 127.0 +1.0
Pace	21 98.5 11 100.6	DEN 87.6 SAC 116.5 +28.9
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 30 13.7	DEN 16.4 SAC 12.4 −4.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 2 57.2%	DEN 64.7% +4.0% SAC 60.7%
TO %	22 14.0% 10 12.9%	DEN 14.7% SAC 10.7% −4.0%
ORB %	13 24.8% 22 22.7%	DEN 23.3% SAC 28.9% +5.6%
FTrt	19 25.9 9 28.4	DEN 21.2 SAC 28.1 +6.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 7 62.6%	DEN 63.3% SAC 68.1% +4.8%
STL %	9 7.6% 22 6.9%	DEN 6.0% SAC 10.0% +4.0%
BLK %	19 8.3% 30 6.0%	DEN 13.8% +3.5% SAC 10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 1 59.6%	DEN 66.3% +4.6% SAC 61.7%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 4 66.4%	DEN 71.4% +5.8% SAC 65.6%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 3 46.5%	DEN 56.7% +10.5% SAC 46.2%
3P %	4 37.9% 9 36.9%	DEN 44.4% SAC 45.2% +0.8%
FT %	26 75.1% 12 79.0%	DEN 88.9% +12.9% SAC 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 14 35.2%	DEN 32.9% SAC 36.0% +3.0%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 7 22.5%	DEN 35.3% SAC 29.2% −6.1%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 5 42.3%	DEN 31.8% SAC 34.8% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	27.4	20.6
Points	126	127
Rebounds	34	34
Assists	31	32
Steals	6	10
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	24	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	23 (2)
Field Goals	49-85	47-89
At-the-Rim FG	20-28	21-32
Midrange FG	17-30	12-26
2-Point FG	37-58	33-58
3-Point FG	12-27	14-31
Free Throws	16-18	19-25
Fast Break Pts	9	21
2nd Chance Pts	10	15
Points in Paint	62	54
Pts off Turnovers	13	16
Bench Points	26	46
Biggest Lead	19	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg