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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 30, 2022
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pistons37%111118
21Bulls63%116132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.6
33.3
28.2
16
50%
10
2
3
0
0
1
4
6
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
56%
2-7
29%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.7
31.1
32.1
20
48%
4
6
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
6-13
5-9
46%
52%
2-6
33%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 19.1
30.8
31.0
4
50%
8
3
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
59%
0-0
-
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
30.6
27.7
10
38%
4
2
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
2-7
29%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.9
29.2
27.2
22
79%
1
6
0
1
0
3
0
1
8-9
89%
4-5
4-8
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 31.4
21.8
24.5
19
101%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
4-4
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.4
18.8
9.8
4
72%
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.4
16.9
2.7
11
80%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
3-5
60%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.4
14.2
9.6
5
64%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-3
33%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 23.8
13.3
18.6
7
58%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
56%
1-2
50%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.4
24.5
1
3-6
45%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.4
12.4
1
2-4
53%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 28.7
1.9
0
0-0
57%
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 24.4
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.3
Buddy Boeheim
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
38.4
36.0
43
91%
3
6
2
1
0
4
0
3
8-8
100%
10-11
6-11
91%
55%
5-9
56%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.4
34.6
37.6
22
52%
6
5
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-5
80%
9-17
10-17
53%
55%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.2
32.8
31.8
19
59%
9
2
1
1
3
1
3
6
0-0
-
8-13
5-8
62%
57%
1-3
33%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.3
31.3
35.7
8
67%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
25.4
27.7
11
50%
6
2
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
62%
1-3
33%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 28.8
20.4
18.8
8
100%
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
2-2
100%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.7
15.4
16.7
4
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.4
15.2
14.8
12
76%
7
0
2
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
57%
0-0
-
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.9
13.8
16.5
5
83%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
12.7
14.7
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
63%
0-0
-
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.5
3.8
0
0-1
54%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.0
0.9
0
0-0
62%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 25.9
Malcolm Hill
F · 6'6" 220 · 27.2
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.0
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.2
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.