Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Heat	45%	112	119	119.0	100	105.7
	7	Nuggets	55%	114	124	122.8	101	98.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	37.8	17	53%	6	8	4	0	1	1	1	5	7-8	88%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	32.8	26	72%	10	5	1	0	1	1	1	9	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-9	44%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	32.0	3	30%	2	3	1	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	30.2	22	58%	7	2	4	2	4	3	4	3	10-11	91%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	21.1	7	58%	2	0	2	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	33.1	19	73%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	19.2	9	64%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	17.8	13	81%	5	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	16.0	3	25%	1	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Strain
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	36	21	13	4	14	19	11	25	27-30	90%	25-52	48%	14-35	40%

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6 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	37.8	17	53%	6	8	4	0	1	1	1	5	7-8	88%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	32.8	26	72%	10	5	1	0	1	1	1	9	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-9	44%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	32.0	3	30%	2	3	1	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	30.2	22	58%	7	2	4	2	4	3	4	3	10-11	91%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	21.1	7	58%	2	0	2	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	33.1	19	73%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	19.2	9	64%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	17.8	13	81%	5	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	16.0	3	25%	1	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Strain
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	36	21	13	4	14	19	11	25	27-30	90%	25-52	48%	14-35	40%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	36.3	19	63%	12	12	1	1	3	3	1	11	1-1	100%	6-12	50%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	33.5	14	64%	2	6	0	0	3	2	0	2	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	33.1	11	55%	5	3	2	0	3	1	1	4	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.2	20	125%	2	2	0	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	4-4	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	25.3	10	38%	6	3	1	0	0	1	1	5	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	25.7	13	72%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	23.2	16	89%	1	4	1	0	6	0	0	1	1-1	100%	0-3	0%	5-6	83%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	17.9	15	125%	0	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-3	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	11.7	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	71%	36	34	6	1	20	19	5	31	17-22	77%	28-48	58%	17-28	61%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.5%

DEN

1.41 70.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

12

20

60%

DEN

17

26

65%

Midrange

MIA

13

32

41%

DEN

11

22

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

14

21.0

35

40%

60%

DEN

17

25.5

28

61%

91%

Free Throws

MIA

27

30

90%

DEN

17

22

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	26	72%	13.0 / 18
B. Adebayo	22	58%	11.0 / 19
M. Strus	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Butler	17	53%	8.5 / 16
O. Robinson	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Robinson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
H. Highsmith	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Lowry	3	30%	1.5 / 5
G. Vincent	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope	20	125%	10.0 / 8
N. Jokić	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Hyland	16	89%	8.0 / 9
V. Cancar	15	125%	7.5 / 6
J. Murray	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Brown	13	72%	6.5 / 9
A. Gordon	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Porter	10	38%	5.0 / 13
D. Jordan	6	75%	3.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 5 117.1	MIA 119.0 DEN 122.8 +3.8
Pace	29 96.3 21 98.5	MIA 105.7 +6.9 DEN 98.7
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 13 14.7	MIA 13.6 −1.0 DEN 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 1 57.3%	MIA 52.9% DEN 70.4% +17.5%
TO %	15 13.2% 22 14.0%	MIA 13.0% −5.9% DEN 18.9%
ORB %	21 22.8% 13 24.8%	MIA 26.2% +9.5% DEN 16.7%
FTrt	13 27.0 19 25.9	MIA 34.5 +5.6 DEN 28.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 2 66.3%	MIA 53.8% DEN 75.6% +21.8%
STL %	3 8.2% 9 7.6%	MIA 13.0% +7.1% DEN 5.9%
BLK %	29 6.3% 19 8.3%	MIA 8.3% +6.4% DEN 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 5 58.7%	MIA 59.5% DEN 70.5% +11.0%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 3 66.5%	MIA 60.0% DEN 65.4% +5.4%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 13 43.4%	MIA 40.6% DEN 50.0% +9.4%
3P %	27 34.4% 4 37.9%	MIA 40.0% DEN 60.7% +20.7%
FT %	2 83.1% 26 75.1%	MIA 90.0% +12.7% DEN 77.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 2 39.0%	MIA 23.0% DEN 34.2% +11.2%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 12 24.9%	MIA 36.8% DEN 28.9% −7.8%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 21 36.1%	MIA 40.2% +3.4% DEN 36.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	22.7	24.6
Points	119	124
Rebounds	36	36
Assists	21	34
Steals	13	6
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	20 (0)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (1)	31 (3)
Field Goals	39-87	45-76
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	17-26
Midrange FG	13-32	11-22
2-Point FG	25-52	28-48
3-Point FG	14-35	17-28
Free Throws	27-30	17-22
Fast Break Pts	15	14
2nd Chance Pts	12	4
Points in Paint	42	48
Pts off Turnovers	19	15
Bench Points	44	50
Biggest Lead	9	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg