Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Heat	38%	110	126	128.6	98	105.6
	7	Jazz	62%	114	123	124.2	99	92.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	36.1	32	70%	8	5	1	0	2	5	5	3	10-13	77%	11-17	65%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.0	29	66%	9	6	2	0	5	4	0	9	6-7	86%	7-9	78%	3-11	27%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	31.4	13	72%	2	6	2	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	25.9	5	42%	3	4	2	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 26	17.1	6	75%	1	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	34.5	23	64%	5	5	3	1	2	4	0	5	5-7	71%	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	23.7	5	42%	3	4	0	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	21.1	9	56%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	11.9	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	4.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinosis
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left quadriceps; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	37	32	10	1	12	32	10	27	23-30	77%	32-50	64%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	36.1	32	70%	8	5	1	0	2	5	5	3	10-13	77%	11-17	65%	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.0	29	66%	9	6	2	0	5	4	0	9	6-7	86%	7-9	78%	3-11	27%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	31.4	13	72%	2	6	2	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	25.9	5	42%	3	4	2	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 26	17.1	6	75%	1	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	34.5	23	64%	5	5	3	1	2	4	0	5	5-7	71%	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	23.7	5	42%	3	4	0	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	21.1	9	56%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	11.9	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	4.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinosis
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left quadriceps; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	37	32	10	1	12	32	10	27	23-30	77%	32-50	64%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 26	36.0	29	73%	14	0	1	0	1	2	5	9	12-12	100%	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	34.7	22	61%	5	3	0	0	4	2	1	4	5-10	50%	4-5	80%	3-9	33%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	33.5	14	50%	4	6	3	0	5	4	0	4	7-9	78%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Mike Conley #11 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	30.9	9	50%	4	8	0	0	4	3	0	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · C · 6'8" 214 · 24	17.3	4	50%	5	1	0	0	0	3	3	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 21	30.3	5	36%	12	0	1	3	1	2	6	6	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 24	24.4	14	58%	2	3	1	0	1	4	1	1	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	3-5	60%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	18.3	17	77%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-8	63%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	14.5	9	90%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #6 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leandro Bolmaro #10 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	49	23	6	3	16	23	16	33	36-44	82%	18-41	44%	17-40	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.25 62.4%

UTA

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

15

22

68%

UTA

9

23

39%

Midrange

MIA

17

28

61%

UTA

9

18

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

13

19.5

39

33%

50%

UTA

17

25.5

40

43%

64%

Free Throws

MIA

23

30

77%

UTA

36

44

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	32	70%	16.0 / 23
T. Herro	29	66%	14.5 / 22
V. Oladipo	23	64%	11.5 / 18
M. Strus	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Robinson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
H. Highsmith	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Lowry	5	42%	2.5 / 6
G. Vincent	5	42%	2.5 / 6
O. Robinson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Cain	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	29	73%	14.5 / 20
J. Clarkson	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Beasley	17	77%	8.5 / 11
K. Olynyk	14	50%	7.0 / 14
C. Sexton	14	58%	7.0 / 12
M. Conley	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Gay	9	90%	4.5 / 5
W. Kessler	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Vanderbilt	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 9 115.6	MIA 128.6 +4.3 UTA 124.2
Pace	29 96.3 12 100.6	MIA 105.6 +13.5 UTA 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 15 14.4	MIA 13.6 −2.0 UTA 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 15 54.8%	MIA 57.9% +4.2% UTA 53.7%
TO %	15 13.2% 28 14.7%	MIA 10.5% −3.3% UTA 13.8%
ORB %	21 22.8% 4 26.8%	MIA 23.3% UTA 37.2% +13.9%
FTrt	13 27.0 14 26.6	MIA 33.7 UTA 54.3 +20.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 11 61.1%	MIA 71.1% +5.4% UTA 65.7%
STL %	3 8.2% 30 6.0%	MIA 10.2% +4.1% UTA 6.1%
BLK %	29 6.3% 11 9.2%	MIA 2.4% UTA 6.0% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 13 57.3%	MIA 62.4% +2.7% UTA 59.7%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 12 64.1%	MIA 68.2% +29.1% UTA 39.1%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 9 44.3%	MIA 60.7% +10.7% UTA 50.0%
3P %	27 34.4% 20 35.3%	MIA 33.3% UTA 42.5% +9.2%
FT %	2 83.1% 14 78.6%	MIA 76.7% UTA 81.8% +5.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 18 34.5%	MIA 24.7% UTA 28.4% +3.7%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 9 23.5%	MIA 31.5% UTA 22.2% −9.2%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 6 42.1%	MIA 43.8% UTA 49.4% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	UTA
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.8
Points	126	123
Rebounds	37	49
Assists	32	23
Steals	10	6
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	32	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	33 (1)
Field Goals	45-89	35-81
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	9-23
Midrange FG	17-28	9-18
2-Point FG	32-50	18-41
3-Point FG	13-39	17-40
Free Throws	23-30	36-44
Fast Break Pts	13	6
2nd Chance Pts	15	22
Points in Paint	54	32
Pts off Turnovers	25	15
Bench Points	41	45
Biggest Lead	10	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg