Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 1, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Wizards	49%	110	118	114.6	103	103.7
	23	Bucks	51%	111	95	92.2	103	102.3

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+17

-17

103

MIL

+18

-16

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.15 57.3%

MIL

0.90 45.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 27	33.4	10	31%	13	11	0	0	5	3	1	12	0-1	0%	5-14	36%	0-2	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	30.0	12	120%	6	1	1	0	1	0	0	6	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 27	29.4	22	65%	5	0	2	2	2	3	1	4	4-4	100%	9-11	82%	0-5	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	27.8	17	77%	4	4	1	1	1	1	3	1	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	25.3	7	50%	3	4	0	1	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%

Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	31.9	26	68%	4	3	1	0	1	1	0	4	1-3	33%	8-13	62%	3-5	60%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	28.7	11	42%	12	3	2	0	4	0	4	8	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	18.9	7	58%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	3.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	3.9	2	100%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	3.9	2	100%	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	3.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Left hamstring soreness
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Left groin soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	54	29	9	6	17	10	12	42	11-16	69%	43-67	64%	7-27	26%

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18 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 27	33.4	10	31%	13	11	0	0	5	3	1	12	0-1	0%	5-14	36%	0-2	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	30.0	12	120%	6	1	1	0	1	0	0	6	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 27	29.4	22	65%	5	0	2	2	2	3	1	4	4-4	100%	9-11	82%	0-5	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	27.8	17	77%	4	4	1	1	1	1	3	1	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	25.3	7	50%	3	4	0	1	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%

Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	31.9	26	68%	4	3	1	0	1	1	0	4	1-3	33%	8-13	62%	3-5	60%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	28.7	11	42%	12	3	2	0	4	0	4	8	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	18.9	7	58%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	3.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	3.9	2	100%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	3.9	2	100%	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	3.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Left hamstring soreness
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Left groin soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	54	29	9	6	17	10	12	42	11-16	69%	43-67	64%	7-27	26%

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23 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	31.0	14	47%	3	3	1	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	30.1	19	50%	10	2	1	0	1	1	5	5	6-6	100%	5-14	36%	1-2	50%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 30	29.4	10	56%	3	0	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	26.2	13	54%	5	8	1	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	23.5	8	40%	10	0	1	1	2	2	4	6	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%

MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	25.0	11	42%	4	0	1	0	2	2	3	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-9	22%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	19.3	10	71%	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	17.3	0	0%	0	6	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	15.6	4	29%	2	0	2	1	3	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	13.1	2	25%	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	5.5	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	45%	44	22	11	3	16	15	14	30	14-15	93%	21-47	45%	13-49	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.15 57.3%

MIL

0.90 45.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

73%

MIL

44%

Midrange

WAS

56%

MIL

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

10.5

26%

39%

MIL

19.5

27%

40%

Free Throws

WAS

69%

MIL

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hachimura	26	68%	13.0 / 19
K. Porziņģis	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. Gafford	17	77%	8.5 / 11
C. Kispert	12	120%	6.0 / 5
D. Avdija	11	42%	5.5 / 13
K. Kuzma	10	31%	5.0 / 16
M. Morris	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Wright	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Goodwin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
V. Carey Jr.	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Gill	2	100%	1.0 / 1
W. Barton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Portis	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. Carter	14	47%	7.0 / 15
G. Allen	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Beauchamp	11	42%	5.5 / 13
P. Connaughton	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Green	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Lopez	8	40%	4.0 / 10
S. Ibaka	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Nwora	4	100%	2.0 / 2
S. Mamukelashvili	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Ingles	0	-	0.0 / 4
T. Antetokounmpo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 114.3 13 114.9	WAS 114.6 +22.3 MIL 92.2
Pace	20 98.6 9 101.0	WAS 103.7 +1.4 MIL 102.3
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 16 14.4	WAS 13.9 −0.2 MIL 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 10 55.5%	WAS 56.9% +14.7% MIL 42.2%
TO %	17 13.5% 19 13.6%	WAS 15.1% MIL 13.5% −1.6%
ORB %	23 22.7% 9 25.0%	WAS 28.6% +3.6% MIL 25.0%
FTrt	21 25.8 25 24.8	WAS 17.0 +1.4 MIL 15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 15 60.4%	WAS 58.0% MIL 64.7% +6.7%
STL %	21 6.9% 28 6.2%	WAS 8.7% MIL 10.7% +2.0%
BLK %	13 9.1% 18 8.3%	WAS 12.8% +8.3% MIL 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 16 56.9%	WAS 57.3% +12.1% MIL 45.2%
Rim FG%	1 67.3% 6 65.3%	WAS 72.7% +28.3% MIL 44.4%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 16 42.9%	WAS 55.9% +10.9% MIL 45.0%
3P %	18 35.6% 10 36.8%	WAS 25.9% MIL 26.5% +0.6%
FT %	15 78.5% 29 74.3%	WAS 68.8% MIL 93.3% +24.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.1% 25 31.6%	WAS 35.1% +7.0% MIL 28.1%
Mid Att. %	25 29.4% 10 23.8%	WAS 36.2% MIL 20.8% −15.3%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 4 44.6%	WAS 28.7% MIL 51.0% +22.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIL
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	118	95
Rebounds	54	44
Assists	29	22
Steals	9	11
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	10	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (3)	30 (1)
Field Goals	50-94	34-96
At-the-Rim FG	24-33	12-27
Midrange FG	19-34	9-20
2-Point FG	43-67	21-47
3-Point FG	7-27	13-49
Free Throws	11-16	14-15
Fast Break Pts	22	8
2nd Chance Pts	17	20
Points in Paint	72	26
Pts off Turnovers	17	18
Bench Points	50	31
Biggest Lead	26	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg