Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	53%	115	111	113.3	98	105.3
	22	Timberwolves	47%	113	124	126.5	98	91.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 26	35.9	14	58%	3	4	1	0	2	0	1	2	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	33.4	12	29%	16	6	1	0	1	3	12	4	4-6	67%	4-15	27%	0-3	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	33.3	24	57%	7	9	2	0	5	4	1	6	3-4	75%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 30	32.9	10	63%	4	2	0	0	1	4	1	3	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	27.4	18	90%	2	0	0	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	22.5	8	57%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	22.3	18	75%	6	2	2	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-7	57%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	16.9	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	12.4	3	38%	2	0	1	0	2	2	2	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	3.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	45	27	8	1	14	21	18	27	16-20	80%	31-62	50%	11-29	38%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 26	35.9	14	58%	3	4	1	0	2	0	1	2	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	33.4	12	29%	16	6	1	0	1	3	12	4	4-6	67%	4-15	27%	0-3	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	33.3	24	57%	7	9	2	0	5	4	1	6	3-4	75%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 30	32.9	10	63%	4	2	0	0	1	4	1	3	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	27.4	18	90%	2	0	0	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	22.5	8	57%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	22.3	18	75%	6	2	2	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-7	57%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	16.9	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	12.4	3	38%	2	0	1	0	2	2	2	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	3.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	45	27	8	1	14	21	18	27	16-20	80%	31-62	50%	11-29	38%

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22 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · PG · 6'4" 225 · 21	36.3	29	54%	10	5	1	0	3	5	1	9	6-6	100%	7-13	54%	3-11	27%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	31.4	17	53%	4	2	1	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	7-9	78%	1-7	14%
Kyle Anderson #5 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 29	31.3	19	68%	4	8	3	0	1	2	1	3	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	3-4	75%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	27.5	8	80%	4	3	0	2	1	5	2	2	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	24.6	21	95%	4	4	1	1	2	4	2	2	1-2	50%	7-8	88%	2-2	100%

Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	31.8	8	67%	1	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	21.8	8	57%	8	2	0	0	0	1	4	4	3-6	50%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	21.1	5	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	14.4	9	50%	6	0	0	1	1	1	1	5	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Subluxation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	61%	41	29	7	4	11	22	11	30	21-27	78%	32-51	63%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.08 53.9%

MIN

1.22 60.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

20

37

54%

MIN

28

38

74%

Midrange

DEN

11

25

44%

MIN

4

13

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

11

16.5

29

38%

57%

MIN

13

19.5

36

36%

54%

Free Throws

DEN

16

20

80%

MIN

21

27

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	24	57%	12.0 / 21
M. Porter	18	90%	9.0 / 10
B. Hyland	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Murray	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Gordon	12	29%	6.0 / 21
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	63%	5.0 / 8
B. Brown	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Z. Nnaji	3	38%	1.5 / 4
V. Cancar	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Braun	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	29	54%	14.5 / 27
J. McDaniels	21	95%	10.5 / 11
K. Anderson	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Nowell	17	53%	8.5 / 16
L. Garza	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Gobert	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Rivers	8	67%	4.0 / 6
N. Knight	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Ryan	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 23 113.7	DEN 113.3 MIN 126.5 +13.3
Pace	21 98.5 10 101.0	DEN 105.3 +13.7 MIN 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 21 14.2	DEN 13.7 −2.0 MIN 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 8 56.0%	DEN 52.2% MIN 59.2% +7.0%
TO %	22 14.0% 27 14.5%	DEN 13.1% MIN 10.8% −2.3%
ORB %	13 24.8% 27 21.5%	DEN 37.5% +8.6% MIN 28.9%
FTrt	19 25.9 12 27.0	DEN 22.0 MIN 31.0 +9.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 12 61.0%	DEN 64.3% MIN 64.4% +0.1%
STL %	9 7.6% 7 7.9%	DEN 8.2% +1.1% MIN 7.1%
BLK %	19 8.3% 6 9.8%	DEN 2.0% MIN 6.5% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 8 58.0%	DEN 53.9% MIN 60.8% +6.9%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 9 64.9%	DEN 54.1% MIN 73.7% +19.6%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 14 43.2%	DEN 44.0% +13.2% MIN 30.8%
3P %	4 37.9% 13 36.5%	DEN 37.9% +1.8% MIN 36.1%
FT %	26 75.1% 24 75.5%	DEN 80.0% +2.2% MIN 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 5 38.7%	DEN 40.7% MIN 43.7% +3.0%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 8 23.2%	DEN 27.5% MIN 14.9% −12.5%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 14 38.1%	DEN 31.9% MIN 41.4% +9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MIN
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	111	124
Rebounds	45	41
Assists	27	29
Steals	8	7
Blocks	1	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	21	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (0)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	30 (3)
Field Goals	42-91	45-87
At-the-Rim FG	20-37	28-38
Midrange FG	11-25	4-13
2-Point FG	31-62	32-51
3-Point FG	11-29	13-36
Free Throws	16-20	21-27
Fast Break Pts	29	15
2nd Chance Pts	10	16
Points in Paint	54	58
Pts off Turnovers	11	14
Bench Points	33	30
Biggest Lead	3	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg