Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Pistons	29%	110	106	96.4	110	108.7
	14	Blazers	71%	118	135	121.6	111	112.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22	28.4	9	45%	6	1	0	1	3	3	0	6	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 24	27.1	9	56%	5	0	2	0	2	2	1	4	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Jaden Ivey #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	26.7	13	43%	3	2	0	0	5	5	0	3	6-9	67%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 34	25.4	21	66%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	2-3	67%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19	22.2	5	36%	11	3	1	1	0	2	5	6	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Alec Burks #5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 31	24.3	19	63%	3	3	0	0	1	0	0	3	8-9	89%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	21.3	4	33%	3	3	1	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 24	20.8	16	80%	4	1	2	2	2	4	1	3	1-3	33%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
Rodney McGruder #17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	17.9	2	25%	3	0	1	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kevin Knox II #20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	12.0	4	50%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 24	8.3	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nerlens Noel #9 · C · 6'11" 220 · 29	5.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 21	DNP - League Suspension
Jared Rhoden #42 · NA · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Buddy Boeheim #27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	53%	45	16	8	4	21	27	9	36	32-41	78%	28-64	44%	6-18	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22	28.4	9	45%	6	1	0	1	3	3	0	6	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 24	27.1	9	56%	5	0	2	0	2	2	1	4	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Jaden Ivey #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	26.7	13	43%	3	2	0	0	5	5	0	3	6-9	67%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 34	25.4	21	66%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	2-3	67%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19	22.2	5	36%	11	3	1	1	0	2	5	6	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Alec Burks #5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 31	24.3	19	63%	3	3	0	0	1	0	0	3	8-9	89%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	21.3	4	33%	3	3	1	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 24	20.8	16	80%	4	1	2	2	2	4	1	3	1-3	33%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
Rodney McGruder #17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	17.9	2	25%	3	0	1	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kevin Knox II #20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	12.0	4	50%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 24	8.3	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nerlens Noel #9 · C · 6'11" 220 · 29	5.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 21	DNP - League Suspension
Jared Rhoden #42 · NA · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Buddy Boeheim #27 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	53%	45	16	8	4	21	27	9	36	32-41	78%	28-64	44%	6-18	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	33.3	30	79%	5	3	2	0	2	1	0	5	4-5	80%	7-8	88%	4-10	40%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	28.9	19	63%	5	10	4	2	2	2	0	5	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	28.0	6	50%	6	7	0	0	2	2	0	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	27.9	36	90%	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1	7-9	78%	7-9	78%	5-8	63%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	13.6	3	38%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	29.3	10	71%	10	2	3	3	0	0	3	7	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	20.5	10	56%	3	0	1	0	1	6	0	3	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	20.1	4	67%	6	1	0	1	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	13.4	7	88%	2	4	2	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	10.8	1	50%	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	8.5	4	40%	2	1	2	0	2	3	0	2	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	5.7	5	63%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	68%	44	29	16	6	18	27	6	38	25-35	71%	34-53	64%	14-31	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	POR
Clock	Team	Event	DET	POR

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.05 52.5%

POR

1.35 67.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

24

35

69%

POR

23

35

66%

Midrange

DET

4

29

14%

POR

11

18

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

6

9.0

18

33%

50%

POR

14

21.0

31

45%

68%

Free Throws

DET

32

41

78%

POR

25

35

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic	21	66%	10.5 / 16
A. Burks	19	63%	9.5 / 15
H. Diallo	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Ivey	13	43%	6.5 / 15
I. Stewart	9	45%	4.5 / 10
S. Bey	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Duren	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Joseph	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Knox	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Bagley	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. McGruder	2	25%	1.0 / 4
N. Noel	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	36	90%	18.0 / 20
A. Simons	30	79%	15.0 / 19
D. Lillard	19	63%	9.5 / 15
D. Eubanks	10	71%	5.0 / 7
S. Sharpe	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Payton	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Hart	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Brown III	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Walker	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Johnson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Nurkić	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Watford	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.3 17 114.6	DET 96.4 POR 121.6 +25.3
Pace	14 99.4 18 98.7	DET 108.7 POR 112.3 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 12 14.7	DET 13.2 POR 12.8 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.0% 14 54.9%	DET 45.1% POR 65.5% +20.4%
TO %	26 14.5% 20 13.8%	DET 17.3% POR 15.3% −2.0%
ORB %	10 25.0% 24 22.4%	DET 19.1% +4.8% POR 14.3%
FTrt	4 29.5 6 28.9	DET 50.0 +8.3 POR 41.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 58.1% 18 59.7%	DET 47.1% POR 60.4% +13.3%
STL %	18 7.0% 24 6.8%	DET 7.3% POR 14.4% +7.1%
BLK %	26 6.9% 17 8.4%	DET 7.5% POR 9.4% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 54.8% 9 57.5%	DET 52.5% POR 67.5% +15.0%
Rim FG%	26 61.1% 22 62.3%	DET 68.6% +2.9% POR 65.7%
Mid FG%	27 40.5% 24 42.2%	DET 13.8% POR 61.1% +47.3%
3P %	22 35.1% 14 36.5%	DET 33.3% POR 45.2% +11.9%
FT %	21 77.1% 8 79.6%	DET 78.0% +6.6% POR 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 33.7% 9 37.5%	DET 42.7% +1.0% POR 41.7%
Mid Att. %	23 29.1% 3 21.2%	DET 35.4% POR 21.4% −13.9%
3P Att. %	15 37.2% 7 41.3%	DET 22.0% POR 36.9% +15.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	POR
Possessions	110	111
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	106	135
Rebounds	45	44
Assists	16	29
Steals	8	16
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	27	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	38 (1)
Field Goals	34-82	48-84
At-the-Rim FG	24-35	23-35
Midrange FG	4-29	11-18
2-Point FG	28-64	34-53
3-Point FG	6-18	14-31
Free Throws	32-41	25-35
Fast Break Pts	17	34
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	52	56
Pts off Turnovers	17	37
Bench Points	49	41
Biggest Lead	6	34

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg