Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 3, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Wizards	36%	109	113	110.8	102	101.2
	6	Bucks	64%	114	123	120.6	102	102.7

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+17

-10

109

MIL

+18

-12

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 51.8%

MIL

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 27	35.0	22	73%	9	4	1	1	3	5	1	8	6-6	100%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 27	34.3	20	36%	4	2	0	2	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	10-22	45%	0-6	0%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	29.8	8	44%	8	6	1	0	0	1	2	6	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	29.1	11	61%	12	2	0	0	0	2	5	7	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	13.3	8	50%	1	4	2	0	2	0	1	0	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	28.0	12	67%	4	3	1	0	2	3	2	2	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	24.9	12	55%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	3-3	100%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	23.3	12	67%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	16.9	4	29%	3	2	3	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	1.4	2	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	1.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Left groin soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	52%	46	27	9	4	10	16	14	32	21-23	91%	34-70	49%	8-27	30%

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19 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 27	35.0	22	73%	9	4	1	1	3	5	1	8	6-6	100%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 27	34.3	20	36%	4	2	0	2	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	10-22	45%	0-6	0%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	29.8	8	44%	8	6	1	0	0	1	2	6	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	29.1	11	61%	12	2	0	0	0	2	5	7	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	13.3	8	50%	1	4	2	0	2	0	1	0	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	28.0	12	67%	4	3	1	0	2	3	2	2	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	24.9	12	55%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	3-3	100%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	23.3	12	67%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	16.9	4	29%	3	2	3	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	1.4	2	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	1.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Left groin soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	52%	46	27	9	4	10	16	14	32	21-23	91%	34-70	49%	8-27	30%

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6 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	36.6	55	72%	10	7	2	0	5	3	2	8	15-16	94%	20-30	67%	0-3	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 30	32.1	11	55%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-9	33%
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	29.4	3	17%	3	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-7	14%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	27.8	21	81%	12	3	1	6	1	3	6	6	0-0	-	9-11	82%	1-2	50%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	23.4	0	0%	2	3	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	28.4	17	65%	13	4	2	0	0	1	3	10	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	19.0	6	38%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	18.4	6	60%	3	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	15.8	4	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	9.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	56%	49	27	8	6	12	14	15	34	16-17	94%	37-60	62%	11-40	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 51.8%

MIL

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

62%

MIL

72%

Midrange

WAS

36%

MIL

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

12.0

30%

44%

MIL

16.5

28%

41%

Free Throws

WAS

91%

MIL

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Porziņģis	22	73%	11.0 / 15
K. Kuzma	20	36%	10.0 / 28
D. Avdija	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. Hachimura	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Kispert	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Gafford	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Morris	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Beal	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Wright	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Goodwin	2	-	0.0 / 0
A. Gill	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	55	72%	27.5 / 38
B. Lopez	21	81%	10.5 / 13
B. Portis	17	65%	8.5 / 13
P. Connaughton	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Holiday	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Ingles	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Beauchamp	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Allen	3	17%	1.5 / 9
J. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 2
A. Green	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 114.3 13 114.9	WAS 110.8 MIL 120.6 +9.8
Pace	20 98.6 9 101.0	WAS 101.2 MIL 102.7 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 16 14.4	WAS 14.2 MIL 14.0 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 10 55.5%	WAS 47.4% MIL 53.5% +6.1%
TO %	17 13.5% 19 13.6%	WAS 8.5% −1.5% MIL 10.0%
ORB %	23 22.7% 9 25.0%	WAS 29.2% MIL 31.9% +2.7%
FTrt	21 25.8 25 24.8	WAS 23.7 +6.7 MIL 17.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 15 60.4%	WAS 64.3% +8.0% MIL 56.3%
STL %	21 6.9% 28 6.2%	WAS 8.8% +1.0% MIL 7.8%
BLK %	13 9.1% 18 8.3%	WAS 6.7% MIL 8.6% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 16 56.9%	WAS 51.8% MIL 56.4% +4.6%
Rim FG%	1 67.3% 6 65.3%	WAS 61.8% MIL 72.1% +10.3%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 16 42.9%	WAS 36.1% +0.8% MIL 35.3%
3P %	18 35.6% 10 36.8%	WAS 29.6% +2.1% MIL 27.5%
FT %	15 78.5% 29 74.3%	WAS 91.3% MIL 94.1% +2.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.1% 25 31.6%	WAS 35.1% MIL 43.0% +7.9%
Mid Att. %	25 29.4% 10 23.8%	WAS 37.1% MIL 17.0% −20.1%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 4 44.6%	WAS 27.8% MIL 40.0% +12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIL
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	113	123
Rebounds	46	49
Assists	27	27
Steals	9	8
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	16	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	34 (4)
Field Goals	42-97	48-100
At-the-Rim FG	21-34	31-43
Midrange FG	13-36	6-17
2-Point FG	34-70	37-60
3-Point FG	8-27	11-40
Free Throws	21-23	16-17
Fast Break Pts	15	20
2nd Chance Pts	13	21
Points in Paint	60	66
Pts off Turnovers	16	16
Bench Points	44	33
Biggest Lead	4	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg