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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 3, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings38%117117
15Jazz62%122115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 26.7
39
34
21
14
8
0
1
0
2
3
11
5-5
100%
8-12
6-10
67%
61%
0-1
0%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.0
38
35
37
3
6
1
1
2
4
0
3
6-8
75%
14-17
7-13
82%
55%
1-5
20%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
37
26
16
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
3-7
43%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
37
29
19
8
2
2
1
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
3-7
43%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 24.4
32
29
16
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
2-6
33%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 24.3
18
18
4
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
15
24
2
1
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
56%
0-3
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
9
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
63%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.2
9
19
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-2
0%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.7
7
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
3
0
0-1
54%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 29.5
3
0
0-1
58%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 25.8
2
0
0-0
58%
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
2
0
0-1
56%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 32.3
2
0
0-0
43%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 23.0
Chima Moneke
F · 6'6" 223 · 27.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.6
36
34
28
8
1
0
1
0
2
0
8
15-15
100%
5-8
5-8
63%
59%
1-7
14%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 30.6
35
33
24
3
2
0
1
0
3
2
1
1-1
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
55%
5-10
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 35.2
33
29
18
1
7
3
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
28
28
5
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-4
33%
59%
1-4
25%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 23.8
25
22
14
9
2
1
1
1
2
5
4
0-0
-
7-11
3-4
64%
61%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 26.1
31
22
16
6
2
2
1
1
2
1
5
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
3-9
33%
Walker Kessler
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.4
17
25
6
7
0
2
0
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
2-3
4-5
67%
66%
0-0
-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 24.3
15
7
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 36.4
13
14
0
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Ochai Agbaji
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.7
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-2
0%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 22.1
3
0
0-1
52%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 27.1
3
0
0-0
54%
Udoka Azubuike
C-F · 7'0" 280 · 23.3
2
0
0-0
64%
Leandro Bolmaro
F · 6'7" 200 · 22.3
1
0
0-0
50%
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 24.7
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 21.8
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.