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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Grizzlies
131
26Hornets
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
27
29
9
15
2
1
1
2
2
4
11
3-7
43%
3-7
4-7
43%
59%
0-0
-
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
27
32
23
1
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
6-12
8-15
50%
54%
2-5
40%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
26
28
19
11
4
1
1
0
2
0
11
1-2
50%
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
2-6
33%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
25
31
18
2
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
5-5
100%
5-6
4-9
83%
49%
1-4
25%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.3
24
28
17
8
1
0
1
3
1
1
7
4-5
80%
5-7
4-8
71%
53%
1-3
33%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.0
21
7
10
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
1-2
63%
59%
0-1
0%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.0
20
16
8
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
58%
0-3
0%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 21.8
19
16
9
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-3
1-3
100%
56%
0-1
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
19
23
2
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.7
15
24
8
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.3
7
9
5
6
0
0
0
0
4
3
3
2-2
100%
0-4
1-1
0%
62%
1-1
100%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
7
7
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
4
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.2
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.3
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.4
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 21.4
35
35
23
4
12
1
2
0
1
1
3
5-5
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
4-13
31%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 24.4
34
32
15
1
2
1
1
2
0
1
0
1-2
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
2-7
29%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
29
32
21
3
4
2
1
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
3-9
33%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 24.9
27
27
16
7
0
2
1
2
3
0
7
3-4
75%
5-6
3-5
83%
54%
1-5
20%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
23
29
7
10
1
0
1
2
1
2
8
3-3
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
62%
0-0
-
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.1
23
13
7
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.3
21
1
4
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
55%
0-2
0%
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.1
20
15
2
8
0
1
0
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
54%
0-0
-
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 20.4
9
10
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
1-1
100%
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 20.2
5
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.1
5
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 22.0
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 21.6
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.