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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers42%111126
1276ers58%114129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 29.0
41.3
29.8
24
55%
9
6
2
1
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
50%
6-14
43%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 23.0
41.1
25.4
12
52%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
52%
1-4
25%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
39.5
31.1
16
57%
7
12
2
1
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
54%
2-7
29%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
38.3
30.6
14
79%
8
1
1
1
5
5
2
6
2-2
100%
6-7
4-7
86%
59%
0-1
0%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
22.1
28.2
11
62%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
53%
3-5
60%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 20.5
30.9
24.8
19
49%
4
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
9-10
90%
5-13
3-7
38%
49%
0-2
0%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 22.8
14.7
15.1
17
79%
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
3
4-4
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
57%
1-1
100%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
13.2
17.8
6
100%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Oshae Brissett
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.5
12.7
13.7
3
35%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-3
33%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.6
11.1
14.7
4
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.5
3.0
0
0-1
58%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 35.9
1.6
0
0-0
54%
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.3
1.5
0
0-0
57%
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.7
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.0
Trevelin Queen
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
42.7
36.1
26
53%
6
8
1
1
2
4
0
6
8-10
80%
6-12
4-7
50%
53%
2-8
25%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
38.7
31.7
19
50%
10
3
0
1
1
1
4
6
2-2
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
56%
1-5
20%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.6
37.3
29.8
19
63%
7
0
0
2
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
49%
5-8
63%
Tyrese Maxey
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
36.6
24.6
17
48%
5
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
53%
1-4
25%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 37.7
25.0
21.2
0
0%
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
28.0
11.9
19
88%
5
1
1
0
4
1
3
2
3-4
75%
8-9
2-4
89%
63%
0-0
-
Matisse Thybulle
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.8
21.4
10.9
5
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
64%
1-3
33%
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 26.3
18.5
20.2
13
94%
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
54%
1-2
50%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 29.5
16.8
22.2
11
110%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
3-4
75%
Danuel House Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
10.0
0
1-1
56%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25.4
7.8
0
1-1
51%
Paul Reed
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.6
2.3
0
0-1
57%
Jaden Springer
G · 6'3" 202 · 20.3
1.8
0
0-0
52%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.8
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 21.5
Louis King
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.