Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Blazers	49%	113	106	111.6	95	97.0
	23	Timberwolves	51%	114	113	117.7	96	94.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	40.7	27	54%	4	6	0	0	2	2	0	4	11-15	73%	5-9	56%	2-9	22%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	33.1	1	10%	2	4	1	2	2	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	31.6	26	81%	5	1	3	0	0	2	1	4	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	4-6	67%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	29.7	16	62%	2	3	1	0	2	5	1	1	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	25.5	10	42%	8	3	1	3	4	6	3	5	2-5	40%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	27.9	13	81%	4	1	1	0	2	4	2	2	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	20.0	4	100%	5	0	1	2	3	6	1	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	16.4	6	50%	6	0	0	0	1	3	3	3	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	15.2	3	25%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	39	18	8	7	16	30	12	27	31-42	74%	24-46	52%	9-29	31%

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20 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	40.7	27	54%	4	6	0	0	2	2	0	4	11-15	73%	5-9	56%	2-9	22%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	33.1	1	10%	2	4	1	2	2	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	31.6	26	81%	5	1	3	0	0	2	1	4	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	4-6	67%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	29.7	16	62%	2	3	1	0	2	5	1	1	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	25.5	10	42%	8	3	1	3	4	6	3	5	2-5	40%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	27.9	13	81%	4	1	1	0	2	4	2	2	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	20.0	4	100%	5	0	1	2	3	6	1	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	16.4	6	50%	6	0	0	0	1	3	3	3	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	15.2	3	25%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	39	18	8	7	16	30	12	27	31-42	74%	24-46	52%	9-29	31%

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23 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 21	35.7	32	53%	7	3	0	0	3	4	0	7	7-9	78%	8-17	47%	3-9	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	35.0	17	65%	12	1	2	3	1	4	3	9	5-7	71%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #5 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 29	29.7	6	50%	2	5	1	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	27.6	8	44%	2	1	0	2	2	5	2	0	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	25.5	9	45%	3	7	1	0	1	1	2	1	6-8	75%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%

Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	27.5	7	88%	2	5	2	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	25.2	9	64%	1	3	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	20.8	11	92%	2	0	0	0	2	5	0	2	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	12.9	14	100%	2	0	1	0	1	4	1	1	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	59%	33	25	8	6	14	30	8	25	26-36	72%	30-52	58%	9-24	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 55.2%

MIN

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

16

27

59%

MIN

23

35

66%

Midrange

POR

8

19

42%

MIN

7

17

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

9

13.5

29

31%

47%

MIN

9

13.5

24

38%

56%

Free Throws

POR

31

42

74%

MIN

26

36

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	27	54%	13.5 / 25
J. Grant	26	81%	13.0 / 16
A. Simons	16	62%	8.0 / 13
S. Sharpe	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Nurkić	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Walker	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Eubanks	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Johnson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Hart	1	10%	0.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	32	53%	16.0 / 30
R. Gobert	17	65%	8.5 / 13
L. Garza	14	100%	7.0 / 7
T. Prince	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Russell	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Nowell	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. McDaniels	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Rivers	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Anderson	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 23 113.7	POR 111.6 MIN 117.7 +6.1
Pace	18 98.7 10 101.0	POR 97.0 +2.9 MIN 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 21 14.2	POR 14.8 −0.5 MIN 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 8 56.0%	POR 50.0% MIN 57.2% +7.2%
TO %	20 13.8% 27 14.5%	POR 16.1% MIN 14.0% −2.1%
ORB %	24 22.4% 27 21.5%	POR 32.4% +9.5% MIN 22.9%
FTrt	6 28.9 12 27.0	POR 56.0 +8.6 MIN 47.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 12 61.0%	POR 54.5% MIN 64.1% +9.6%
STL %	24 6.8% 7 7.9%	POR 8.4% +0.1% MIN 8.3%
BLK %	17 8.4% 6 9.8%	POR 13.5% +0.5% MIN 13.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 8 58.0%	POR 55.2% MIN 58.9% +3.7%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 9 64.9%	POR 59.3% MIN 65.7% +6.4%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 14 43.2%	POR 42.1% +0.9% MIN 41.2%
3P %	14 36.5% 13 36.5%	POR 31.0% MIN 37.5% +6.5%
FT %	8 79.6% 24 75.5%	POR 73.8% +1.6% MIN 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 5 38.7%	POR 36.0% MIN 46.1% +10.1%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 8 23.2%	POR 25.3% MIN 22.4% −3.0%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 14 38.1%	POR 38.7% +7.1% MIN 31.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	MIN
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	106	113
Rebounds	39	33
Assists	18	25
Steals	8	8
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	14 (1)
Fouls	30	30
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	25 (5)
Field Goals	33-75	39-76
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	23-35
Midrange FG	8-19	7-17
2-Point FG	24-46	30-52
3-Point FG	9-29	9-24
Free Throws	31-42	26-36
Fast Break Pts	9	11
2nd Chance Pts	10	16
Points in Paint	38	54
Pts off Turnovers	23	22
Bench Points	26	41
Biggest Lead	3	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg