Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 5, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Clippers	43%	113	91	92.9	98	102.5
	6	Nuggets	57%	116	122	122.0	100	97.0

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+13

-7

104

DEN

+13

-11

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

0.87 43.3%

DEN

1.20 59.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 32	18.3	6	38%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	18.0	2	17%	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	15.5	8	100%	5	0	0	1	1	0	0	5	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Marcus Morris Sr. #8 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 33	14.9	7	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Paul George #13 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 33	13.7	3	17%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-5	20%

Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	24.0	12	60%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Luke Kennard #5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	23.7	4	22%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-5	0%
Robert Covington #23 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 32	23.1	8	40%	5	2	2	1	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26	19.6	6	38%	2	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 30	19.6	13	59%	1	2	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 23	19.0	12	67%	10	0	0	1	1	2	3	7	2-7	29%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 21	15.3	4	25%	2	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	4-6	67%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Jason Preston #0 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 23	15.3	6	75%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Wall #11 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	43%	41	24	7	3	7	14	8	33	18-25	72%	29-54	54%	5-37	14%

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5 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 32	18.3	6	38%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	18.0	2	17%	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	15.5	8	100%	5	0	0	1	1	0	0	5	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Marcus Morris Sr. #8 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 33	14.9	7	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Paul George #13 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 33	13.7	3	17%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-5	20%

Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	24.0	12	60%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Luke Kennard #5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	23.7	4	22%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-5	0%
Robert Covington #23 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 32	23.1	8	40%	5	2	2	1	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26	19.6	6	38%	2	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 30	19.6	13	59%	1	2	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 23	19.0	12	67%	10	0	0	1	1	2	3	7	2-7	29%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 21	15.3	4	25%	2	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	4-6	67%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Jason Preston #0 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 23	15.3	6	75%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Wall #11 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	43%	41	24	7	3	7	14	8	33	18-25	72%	29-54	54%	5-37	14%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	29.0	9	56%	4	5	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	24.2	12	60%	6	9	1	0	2	0	0	6	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	22.2	10	45%	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	21.4	18	90%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	21.1	13	72%	7	3	0	0	1	0	4	3	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	26.9	15	58%	12	1	1	1	2	4	4	8	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	23.8	13	93%	6	2	1	1	0	5	2	4	3-3	100%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	22.1	9	64%	6	3	2	2	2	1	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	19.5	16	67%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	12.4	4	25%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	8.7	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	8.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	57	28	6	5	11	16	10	47	18-21	86%	31-53	58%	14-36	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAC

0.87 43.3%

DEN

1.20 59.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

68%

DEN

70%

Midrange

LAC

30%

DEN

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

7.5

14%

20%

DEN

21.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

LAC

72%

DEN

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Mann	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Brown	12	67%	6.0 / 9
I. Zubac	8	100%	4.0 / 4
R. Covington	8	40%	4.0 / 10
M. Morris	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Leonard	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Coffey	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Preston	6	75%	3.0 / 4
L. Kennard	4	22%	2.0 / 9
B. Boston Jr.	4	25%	2.0 / 8
P. George	3	17%	1.5 / 9
R. Jackson	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	18	90%	9.0 / 10
B. Hyland	16	67%	8.0 / 12
V. Cancar	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Gordon	13	72%	6.5 / 9
Z. Nnaji	13	93%	6.5 / 7
N. Jokić	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Porter	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Brown	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Braun	4	25%	2.0 / 8
D. Reed	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.5 5 117.1	LAC 92.9 DEN 122.0 +29.1
Pace	23 98.5 21 98.5	LAC 102.5 +5.5 DEN 97.0
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 13 14.7	LAC 14.1 −0.8 DEN 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.1% 1 57.3%	LAC 40.1% DEN 58.4% +18.3%
TO %	18 13.6% 22 14.0%	LAC 7.3% −3.6% DEN 10.9%
ORB %	20 22.9% 13 24.8%	LAC 14.5% DEN 23.3% +8.8%
FTrt	11 27.8 19 25.9	LAC 27.5 +3.9 DEN 23.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 58.1% 2 66.3%	LAC 70.6% +8.4% DEN 62.2%
STL %	17 7.1% 9 7.6%	LAC 7.1% +1.1% DEN 6.0%
BLK %	21 8.1% 19 8.3%	LAC 5.7% DEN 9.3% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.4% 5 58.7%	LAC 43.3% DEN 59.8% +16.5%
Rim FG%	23 62.3% 3 66.5%	LAC 67.6% DEN 70.3% +2.7%
Mid FG%	10 44.3% 13 43.4%	LAC 30.0% DEN 31.3% +1.3%
3P %	3 38.1% 4 37.9%	LAC 13.5% DEN 38.9% +25.4%
FT %	18 78.1% 26 75.1%	LAC 72.0% DEN 85.7% +13.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 32.7% 2 39.0%	LAC 37.4% DEN 41.6% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	21 28.5% 12 24.9%	LAC 22.0% DEN 18.0% −4.0%
3P Att. %	13 38.8% 21 36.1%	LAC 40.7% +0.2% DEN 40.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	DEN
Possessions	98	100
Possession Minutes	23.0	24.7
Points	91	122
Rebounds	41	57
Assists	24	28
Steals	7	6
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	14	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	47 (1)
Field Goals	34-91	45-89
At-the-Rim FG	23-34	26-37
Midrange FG	6-20	5-16
2-Point FG	29-54	31-53
3-Point FG	5-37	14-36
Free Throws	18-25	18-21
Fast Break Pts	15	30
2nd Chance Pts	16	17
Points in Paint	54	60
Pts off Turnovers	12	11
Bench Points	65	60
Biggest Lead	0	43

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg