Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 6, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Wizards	52%	113	110	105.8	104	109.2
	24	Thunder	48%	112	127	123.3	103	98.3

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+14

-20

OKC

+13

-9

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.12 56.1%

OKC

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 27	37.3	23	64%	5	7	1	0	6	3	1	4	7-8	88%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	26.6	7	39%	7	0	1	0	0	1	2	5	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	25.9	10	56%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	25.4	15	75%	9	2	0	1	1	4	4	5	1-5	20%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 27	24.8	14	44%	10	0	0	0	3	0	3	7	8-10	80%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%

Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	21.8	9	75%	2	1	1	1	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	19.3	9	75%	2	4	2	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	18.7	5	28%	0	1	1	0	3	3	0	0	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	17.4	14	78%	4	3	0	0	0	2	0	4	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	17.2	4	67%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Left hamstring strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	46	21	6	2	20	18	11	35	27-36	75%	31-55	56%	7-24	29%

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20 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 27	37.3	23	64%	5	7	1	0	6	3	1	4	7-8	88%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	26.6	7	39%	7	0	1	0	0	1	2	5	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	25.9	10	56%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	25.4	15	75%	9	2	0	1	1	4	4	5	1-5	20%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 27	24.8	14	44%	10	0	0	0	3	0	3	7	8-10	80%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%

Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	21.8	9	75%	2	1	1	1	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	19.3	9	75%	2	4	2	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	18.7	5	28%	0	1	1	0	3	3	0	0	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	17.4	14	78%	4	3	0	0	0	2	0	4	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	17.2	4	67%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Left hamstring strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	46	21	6	2	20	18	11	35	27-36	75%	31-55	56%	7-24	29%

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24 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	37.1	20	63%	6	9	1	0	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	7-14	50%	2-2	100%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	33.5	18	64%	8	3	2	0	3	4	2	6	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24	33.1	30	58%	3	4	1	2	0	4	0	3	5-6	83%	11-19	58%	1-4	25%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	24.3	10	50%	5	3	1	2	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	22.5	18	90%	6	4	1	0	0	5	2	4	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	3-4	75%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	24.3	8	100%	4	1	0	1	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	24.2	8	44%	3	2	2	0	0	6	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	23.7	8	36%	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-8	25%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	14.6	4	50%	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	1.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	1.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Small, non-displaced fracture
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibial Plateau; Non-displaced fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	59%	41	30	9	6	9	26	11	30	10-14	71%	33-61	54%	17-37	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.12 56.1%

OKC

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

64%

OKC

65%

Midrange

WAS

45%

OKC

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

10.5

29%

44%

OKC

25.5

46%

69%

Free Throws

WAS

75%

OKC

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. Gafford	15	75%	7.5 / 10
K. Porziņģis	14	44%	7.0 / 16
W. Barton	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Morris	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Goodwin	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. Wright	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Kispert	7	39%	3.5 / 9
R. Hachimura	5	28%	2.5 / 9
D. Avdija	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	58%	15.0 / 26
J. Giddey	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Williams	18	64%	9.0 / 14
L. Dort	18	90%	9.0 / 10
M. Muscala	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Williams	8	100%	4.0 / 4
I. Joe	8	44%	4.0 / 9
T. Mann	8	36%	4.0 / 11
E. Omoruyi	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Waters	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 114.3 16 114.6	WAS 105.8 OKC 123.3 +17.5
Pace	20 98.6 3 101.6	WAS 109.2 +10.9 OKC 98.3
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 29 13.8	WAS 13.2 −1.5 OKC 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 24 53.1%	WAS 52.5% OKC 59.7% +7.2%
TO %	17 13.5% 4 12.1%	WAS 17.4% OKC 8.8% −8.6%
ORB %	23 22.7% 12 24.8%	WAS 26.8% +2.9% OKC 23.9%
FTrt	21 25.8 23 25.6	WAS 45.6 +31.3 OKC 14.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 27 56.7%	WAS 55.3% OKC 60.0% +4.7%
STL %	21 6.9% 5 8.1%	WAS 5.8% OKC 8.7% +2.9%
BLK %	13 9.1% 24 7.9%	WAS 3.3% OKC 10.9% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 24 55.7%	WAS 56.1% OKC 59.3% +3.2%
Rim FG%	1 67.3% 30 58.7%	WAS 63.6% OKC 65.1% +1.5%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 12 43.7%	WAS 45.5% +17.7% OKC 27.8%
3P %	18 35.6% 17 35.6%	WAS 29.2% OKC 45.9% +16.7%
FT %	15 78.5% 6 80.9%	WAS 75.0% +3.6% OKC 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.1% 3 38.9%	WAS 41.8% OKC 43.9% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	25 29.4% 11 24.2%	WAS 27.8% OKC 18.4% −9.5%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 18 36.8%	WAS 30.4% OKC 37.8% +7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	WAS	OKC
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	110	127
Rebounds	46	41
Assists	21	30
Steals	6	9
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	18	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	38-79	50-98
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	28-43
Midrange FG	10-22	5-18
2-Point FG	31-55	33-61
3-Point FG	7-24	17-37
Free Throws	27-36	10-14
Fast Break Pts	6	16
2nd Chance Pts	13	17
Points in Paint	58	66
Pts off Turnovers	9	32
Bench Points	41	31
Biggest Lead	3	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg