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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 8, 2023
6:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Jazz
118
2Grizzlies
123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
29
27
19
8
5
0
1
0
5
0
8
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
56%
4-6
67%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.6
29
35
21
8
1
0
1
2
1
1
7
4-4
100%
7-14
5-9
50%
57%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 35.2
28
29
7
0
8
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 30.6
28
32
17
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
52%
2-5
40%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 23.8
24
26
12
8
4
0
1
0
3
1
7
6-10
60%
3-5
3-6
60%
59%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 26.1
27
20
15
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
48%
2-9
22%
Walker Kessler
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.5
23
17
10
11
1
0
0
6
1
3
8
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
62%
0-0
-
Ochai Agbaji
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.7
21
15
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-2
0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 24.4
17
7
11
2
4
2
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 36.4
13
16
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 27.1
2
0
0-0
48%
Udoka Azubuike
C-F · 7'0" 280 · 23.3
2
0
0-0
58%
Leandro Bolmaro
F · 6'7" 200 · 22.3
2
0
0-0
45%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 24.0
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 21.8
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.7
34
21
21
2
6
4
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
51%
2-6
33%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.0
33
15
9
9
3
3
1
0
1
3
6
1-3
33%
4-7
2-3
57%
61%
0-1
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
32
29
15
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
50%
2-7
29%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
31
27
24
6
9
2
1
1
3
1
5
4-6
67%
4-11
4-7
36%
52%
4-7
57%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.3
29
28
19
8
0
3
1
5
2
3
5
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
55%
2-5
40%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.3
18
10
9
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
63%
1-4
25%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.0
17
16
12
5
2
0
0
1
0
4
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
60%
2-4
50%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 21.8
17
17
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
1-2
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
16
22
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
61%
1-2
50%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
14
5
2
1
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
3
0
0-0
56%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.3
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.2
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.4
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.