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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 8, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Mavericks
109
25Thunder
120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 27.3
39
26
27
17
2
0
1
0
4
3
14
10-12
83%
7-8
4-7
88%
59%
1-5
20%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.8
36
34
21
3
8
1
1
0
3
1
2
8-10
80%
5-11
3-6
45%
50%
1-5
20%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 30.8
34
33
19
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
4-10
40%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 31.8
33
30
9
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
3-6
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
25
17
6
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
5
6-8
75%
0-0
2-3
-
69%
0-0
-
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 20.5
27
14
9
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-6
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 30.2
12
11
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
3-5
60%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.4
12
12
6
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
McKinley Wright IV
G · 5'11" 192 · 24.2
9
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 27.2
7
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 35.0
5
8
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
60%
0-0
-
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 22.5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.7
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 30.9
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 23.9
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.5
36
29
33
5
5
1
1
2
3
0
5
11-13
85%
11-16
7-14
69%
54%
0-1
0%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.7
30
26
18
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
4-12
3-5
33%
49%
3-8
38%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.2
26
31
10
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-8
6-10
25%
53%
2-4
50%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.7
25
30
10
4
2
0
1
3
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
59%
0-2
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
25
22
14
9
2
1
1
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
57%
2-3
67%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
21
6
8
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
56%
2-4
50%
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.9
19
9
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.5
17
22
5
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
16
11
6
3
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
57%
2-3
67%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.9
14
23
6
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
11
20
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
55%
1-2
50%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
14
0
1-2
53%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.6
6
0
1-1
50%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.0
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.2
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.7
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.