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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 9, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pelicans52%112132
24Wizards48%111112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.0
34
31
18
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
6-14
3-6
43%
53%
1-5
20%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.3
31
35
34
5
1
2
1
1
2
1
4
6-6
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
49%
4-8
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.7
28
28
27
12
1
0
0
0
3
4
8
7-8
88%
10-15
5-9
67%
58%
0-0
-
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.6
23
27
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
0-5
0%
Herbert Jones
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.3
13
29
5
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 30.0
26
16
6
6
3
2
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
61%
0-0
-
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 24.7
24
25
10
4
5
1
2
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
2-2
100%
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'6" 199 · 19.8
19
15
4
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.6
18
15
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
64%
0-0
-
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
18
14
11
1
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
2-4
50%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 21.8
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 36.7
3
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
1-1
100%
Dereon Seabron
G · 6'7" 180 · 22.6
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
50%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
12
0
2-4
54%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 22.5
E.J. Liddell
F · 6'6" 240 · 22.1
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 27.4
34
28
23
10
1
0
1
0
1
3
7
4-4
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
53%
3-5
60%
Corey Kispert
F · 6'6" 224 · 23.9
34
26
17
5
1
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
61%
5-10
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.5
27
26
13
1
9
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
54%
1-2
50%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 24.3
23
25
13
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
5-6
5-7
83%
70%
0-0
-
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.5
23
34
19
8
2
0
1
0
5
2
6
4-4
100%
3-5
6-11
60%
54%
3-8
38%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
27
23
9
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
4-7
33%
54%
1-3
33%
Deni Avdija
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.0
22
22
4
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Jordan Goodwin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
17
12
4
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
1-1
100%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 30.7
17
18
4
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 37.5
11
8
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Gill
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.2
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
60%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 32.0
11
0
1-2
47%
Isaiah Todd
F · 6'9" 219 · 21.2
Vernon Carey Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 21.9
Devon Dotson
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 29.5
Johnny Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.