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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 9, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bucks40%108111
5Knicks60%112107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 28.1
36.4
30.5
22
54%
10
5
0
1
2
4
4
6
9-12
75%
5-12
9-16
42%
60%
1-3
33%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.6
33.8
24.0
15
50%
5
9
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
3-9
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 34.8
32.6
25.2
17
52%
7
2
1
1
3
3
4
3
0-1
0%
4-7
3-5
57%
60%
3-9
33%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
31.4
24.8
11
69%
11
4
0
1
0
1
1
10
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
3-7
43%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 27.3
28.6
25.0
11
75%
3
0
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 35.3
28.1
18.2
17
61%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
56%
5-11
45%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 27.9
19.3
26.0
10
83%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-8
83%
55%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 27.3
18.5
20.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-3
0%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 22.2
11.3
19.0
8
67%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
2-4
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 36.7
14.3
0
1-1
54%
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.3
13.7
0
1-1
53%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.3
9.2
0
1-2
45%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
9.0
0
1-1
52%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 36.2
7.2
0
0-0
43%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 30.5
5.0
0
1-1
54%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Immanuel Quickley
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
43.0
37.2
23
75%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
6-8
4-8
75%
48%
3-6
50%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28.1
39.8
38.2
25
39%
16
5
2
1
0
3
7
9
6-7
86%
8-17
6-11
47%
51%
1-12
8%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 26.4
38.6
34.7
44
64%
7
4
0
1
0
3
2
5
10-10
100%
11-20
7-13
55%
53%
4-10
40%
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 24.8
37.5
28.2
2
25%
8
3
2
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-4
4-5
25%
71%
0-0
-
Quentin Grimes
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.7
33.5
34.7
4
25%
8
1
2
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
58%
0-3
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.2
14.6
12.5
3
38%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-4
25%
Miles McBride
G · 6'1" 195 · 22.3
14.4
19.2
3
50%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
10.4
15.6
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-3
0%
60%
0-1
0%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
8.2
6.1
3
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
60%
1-2
50%
Jericho Sims
C · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
10.1
0
1-2
67%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.3
5.2
0
1-1
50%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 23.4
5.2
0
0-1
49%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 25.6
0.8
0
0-0
45%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
0.6
0
0-0
40%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 22.5
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 25.4
Trevor Keels
G · 6'5" 221 · 19.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.