Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 9, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Lakers	23%	110	109	101.9	107	105.3
	3	Nuggets	77%	121	122	111.9	109	110.8

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+11

-13

105

DEN

+17

-17

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.03 51.4%

DEN

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 29	34.4	14	44%	3	4	2	0	1	3	0	3	8-8	100%	3-8	38%	0-5	0%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	27.9	17	53%	10	0	1	0	0	1	2	8	5-5	100%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%
Max Christie #10 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 20	25.9	14	88%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · PF · 6'6" 209 · 30	18.1	5	50%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Patrick Beverley #21 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	12.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 34	30.9	25	54%	7	7	1	0	7	2	1	6	4-7	57%	9-17	53%	1-4	25%
Cole Swider #20 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 24	25.7	6	50%	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Kendrick Nunn #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	23.9	15	47%	1	1	3	0	2	3	1	0	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Wenyen Gabriel #35 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 26	19.3	9	75%	5	0	0	2	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Sterling Brown #9 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 28	17.5	0	0%	7	1	3	0	0	1	3	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #14 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 22	2.3	4	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 28	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress injury
Lonnie Walker IV #4 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Troy Brown Jr. #7 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
LeBron James #6 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	44	20	12	2	13	14	11	33	19-25	76%	33-65	51%	8-28	29%

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27 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 29	34.4	14	44%	3	4	2	0	1	3	0	3	8-8	100%	3-8	38%	0-5	0%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	27.9	17	53%	10	0	1	0	0	1	2	8	5-5	100%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%
Max Christie #10 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 20	25.9	14	88%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · PF · 6'6" 209 · 30	18.1	5	50%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Patrick Beverley #21 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	12.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 34	30.9	25	54%	7	7	1	0	7	2	1	6	4-7	57%	9-17	53%	1-4	25%
Cole Swider #20 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 24	25.7	6	50%	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Kendrick Nunn #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	23.9	15	47%	1	1	3	0	2	3	1	0	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Wenyen Gabriel #35 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 26	19.3	9	75%	5	0	0	2	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Sterling Brown #9 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 28	17.5	0	0%	7	1	3	0	0	1	3	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #14 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 22	2.3	4	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 28	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress injury
Lonnie Walker IV #4 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Troy Brown Jr. #7 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
LeBron James #6 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	44	20	12	2	13	14	11	33	19-25	76%	33-65	51%	8-28	29%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	35.5	34	55%	7	4	2	0	3	2	4	3	3-4	75%	8-20	40%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	35.1	14	100%	11	16	1	1	4	2	2	9	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.6	16	53%	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	25.9	12	46%	7	0	1	1	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	22.1	9	56%	10	0	0	4	4	2	1	9	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	26.6	15	68%	7	2	0	1	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	25.9	2	25%	4	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	19.6	12	50%	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	2	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	2-8	25%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	12.8	6	60%	3	0	0	2	0	3	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	1.9	2	100%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	55	29	7	11	17	19	14	41	15-17	88%	31-57	54%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.03 51.4%

DEN

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

53%

DEN

57%

Midrange

LAL

48%

DEN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

12.0

29%

43%

DEN

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

LAL

76%

DEN

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook	25	54%	12.5 / 23
T. Bryant	17	53%	8.5 / 16
K. Nunn	15	47%	7.5 / 16
D. Schröder	14	44%	7.0 / 16
M. Christie	14	88%	7.0 / 8
W. Gabriel	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Swider	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Toscano-Anderson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Pippen	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Beverley	0	-	0.0 / 1
S. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	34	55%	17.0 / 31
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	53%	8.0 / 15
B. Brown	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Jokić	14	100%	7.0 / 7
M. Porter	12	46%	6.0 / 13
B. Hyland	12	50%	6.0 / 12
A. Gordon	9	56%	4.5 / 8
Z. Nnaji	6	60%	3.0 / 5
V. Cancar	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Reed	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.5 5 117.1	LAL 101.9 DEN 111.9 +10.1
Pace	6 101.3 21 98.5	LAL 105.3 DEN 110.8 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 13 14.7	LAL 13.7 DEN 13.0 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.2% 1 57.3%	LAL 48.4% DEN 54.0% +5.6%
TO %	14 13.1% 22 14.0%	LAL 11.9% −1.9% DEN 13.8%
ORB %	19 22.9% 13 24.8%	LAL 21.2% DEN 29.8% +8.6%
FTrt	2 29.9 19 25.9	LAL 26.9 +9.7 DEN 17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.9% 2 66.3%	LAL 48.8% DEN 63.0% +14.2%
STL %	29 6.2% 9 7.6%	LAL 11.2% +4.8% DEN 6.4%
BLK %	22 8.0% 19 8.3%	LAL 3.5% DEN 16.9% +13.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 57.1% 5 58.7%	LAL 51.4% DEN 56.0% +4.6%
Rim FG%	10 64.4% 3 66.5%	LAL 52.5% DEN 57.1% +4.6%
Mid FG%	22 42.3% 13 43.4%	LAL 48.0% DEN 50.0% +2.0%
3P %	25 34.6% 4 37.9%	LAL 28.6% DEN 35.7% +7.1%
FT %	20 77.5% 26 75.1%	LAL 76.0% DEN 88.2% +12.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 38.9% 2 39.0%	LAL 43.0% +7.7% DEN 35.4%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 12 24.9%	LAL 26.9% DEN 22.2% −4.7%
3P Att. %	26 35.1% 21 36.1%	LAL 30.1% DEN 42.4% +12.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAL	DEN
Possessions	107	109
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	109	122
Rebounds	44	55
Assists	20	29
Steals	12	7
Blocks	2	11
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	14	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (0)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	41 (3)
Field Goals	41-93	46-99
At-the-Rim FG	21-40	20-35
Midrange FG	12-25	11-22
2-Point FG	33-65	31-57
3-Point FG	8-28	15-42
Free Throws	19-25	15-17
Fast Break Pts	11	21
2nd Chance Pts	11	20
Points in Paint	52	52
Pts off Turnovers	15	23
Bench Points	59	37
Biggest Lead	3	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg