Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Thunder	34%	106	111	111.0	100	105.6
	9	Heat	66%	112	112	112.0	100	94.9

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+20

-18

102

MIA

+17

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.09 54.4%

MIA

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24	38.6	26	65%	4	4	3	0	6	2	0	4	6-7	86%	7-14	50%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	32.5	11	37%	8	2	0	0	2	6	4	4	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	32.3	18	47%	15	10	0	1	6	4	7	8	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	0-4	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	32.2	12	60%	0	5	2	1	1	4	0	0	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · C · 6'6" 235 · 26	16.0	4	67%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	23.5	13	72%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	16.3	2	100%	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	15.5	6	43%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	12.6	9	64%	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	3-4	75%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	12.6	6	60%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	7.8	4	67%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibial Plateau; Non-displaced fracture
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Small, non-displaced fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	44	27	8	3	18	27	14	30	14-21	67%	35-56	63%	9-35	26%

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20 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24	38.6	26	65%	4	4	3	0	6	2	0	4	6-7	86%	7-14	50%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	32.5	11	37%	8	2	0	0	2	6	4	4	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	32.3	18	47%	15	10	0	1	6	4	7	8	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	0-4	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	32.2	12	60%	0	5	2	1	1	4	0	0	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · C · 6'6" 235 · 26	16.0	4	67%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	23.5	13	72%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	16.3	2	100%	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	15.5	6	43%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	12.6	9	64%	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	3-4	75%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	12.6	6	60%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	7.8	4	67%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibial Plateau; Non-displaced fracture
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Small, non-displaced fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	44	27	8	3	18	27	14	30	14-21	67%	35-56	63%	9-35	26%

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9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	42.4	22	55%	7	3	1	0	2	3	5	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	4-12	33%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	39.4	13	46%	4	4	1	0	7	2	0	4	6-6	100%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	38.0	35	65%	7	4	4	3	2	1	2	5	23-23	100%	6-16	38%	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	24.4	4	100%	6	0	1	1	1	5	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 26	24.1	5	36%	5	0	1	0	3	3	3	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	33.8	19	59%	4	4	2	0	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	32.9	12	75%	5	3	0	0	1	3	2	3	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	5.0	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Contusion
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Soreness
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Discomfort
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 2nd Finger; Surgery
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	41	18	10	4	19	19	13	28	40-40	100%	21-46	46%	10-33	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.09 54.4%

MIA

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

67%

MIA

57%

Midrange

OKC

57%

MIA

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

13.5

26%

39%

MIA

15.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

OKC

67%

MIA

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	26	65%	13.0 / 20
J. Giddey	18	47%	9.0 / 19
K. Williams	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Williams	12	60%	6.0 / 10
L. Dort	11	37%	5.5 / 15
L. Waters	9	64%	4.5 / 7
I. Joe	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Wiggins	6	60%	3.0 / 5
E. Omoruyi	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Mann	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Muscala	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	35	65%	17.5 / 27
M. Strus	22	55%	11.0 / 20
V. Oladipo	19	59%	9.5 / 16
G. Vincent	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Cain	12	75%	6.0 / 8
H. Highsmith	5	36%	2.5 / 7
O. Robinson	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Dedmon	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.6 25 112.9	OKC 111.0 MIA 112.0 +1.0
Pace	3 101.6 29 96.3	OKC 105.6 +10.8 MIA 94.9
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.8 5 15.0	OKC 13.6 −1.5 MIA 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.1% 25 53.0%	OKC 53.3% +7.7% MIA 45.6%
TO %	4 12.1% 15 13.2%	OKC 15.9% −1.3% MIA 17.2%
ORB %	12 24.8% 21 22.8%	OKC 33.3% +3.1% MIA 30.2%
FTrt	23 25.6 13 27.0	OKC 23.1 MIA 50.6 +27.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 56.7% 14 60.8%	OKC 61.4% +3.3% MIA 58.1%
STL %	5 8.1% 3 8.2%	OKC 8.0% MIA 10.0% +2.0%
BLK %	24 7.9% 29 6.3%	OKC 6.5% MIA 7.1% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.7% 22 55.9%	OKC 54.4% MIA 57.1% +2.7%
Rim FG%	30 58.7% 20 62.6%	OKC 66.7% +9.6% MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%	12 43.7% 7 45.3%	OKC 56.5% +28.7% MIA 27.8%
3P %	17 35.6% 27 34.4%	OKC 25.7% MIA 30.3% +4.6%
FT %	6 80.9% 2 83.1%	OKC 66.7% MIA 100.0% +33.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.9% 29 29.9%	OKC 36.3% +0.8% MIA 35.4%
Mid Att. %	11 24.2% 24 29.4%	OKC 25.3% MIA 22.8% −2.5%
3P Att. %	18 36.8% 9 40.8%	OKC 38.5% MIA 41.8% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	OKC	MIA
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	111	112
Rebounds	44	41
Assists	27	18
Steals	8	10
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	19 (1)
Fouls	27	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (6)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	28 (1)
Field Goals	44-91	31-79
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	16-28
Midrange FG	13-23	5-18
2-Point FG	35-56	21-46
3-Point FG	9-35	10-33
Free Throws	14-21	40-40
Fast Break Pts	13	14
2nd Chance Pts	22	26
Points in Paint	60	42
Pts off Turnovers	27	24
Bench Points	40	33
Biggest Lead	5	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg