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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 13, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pelicans67%116116
30Pistons33%109110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.3
37.4
32.7
19
48%
4
9
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
2-7
29%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.0
34.7
33.3
17
67%
6
4
1
1
0
5
1
5
3-4
75%
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
2-3
67%
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.6
34.6
28.2
19
74%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
58%
3-8
38%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.7
29.9
25.6
33
85%
16
3
0
0
1
4
4
12
8-10
80%
11-12
5-9
92%
60%
1-3
33%
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'6" 199 · 19.8
24.7
19.7
7
88%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
1-1
100%
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 24.8
29.8
23.3
7
25%
4
4
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-10
2-5
20%
54%
1-4
25%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 30.0
18.1
19.4
5
69%
9
1
1
1
0
1
2
7
3-6
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
63%
0-0
-
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.6
17.0
17.0
6
44%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
66%
0-0
-
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
13.9
17.2
3
25%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
1-5
20%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
7.1
0
1-3
56%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 21.8
5.1
0
1-1
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 36.7
3.1
0
0-0
48%
Dereon Seabron
G · 6'7" 180 · 22.6
1.9
0
0-0
54%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 22.5
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 25.4
E.J. Liddell
F · 6'6" 240 · 22.1
Herbert Jones
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.7
36.0
31.0
22
52%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-5
60%
8-12
5-10
67%
52%
1-7
14%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.9
34.0
30.1
12
35%
7
6
0
1
0
4
1
6
4-5
80%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
0-6
0%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
30.8
31.5
20
54%
10
3
1
1
1
2
3
7
9-10
90%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.5
30.2
29.3
17
85%
2
6
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
3-3
100%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 28.8
19.0
14.9
4
67%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
58%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.5
27.4
23.1
19
74%
7
0
2
1
0
2
0
7
1-4
25%
9-11
4-7
82%
54%
0-0
-
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 24.5
21.3
13.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-3
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 31.5
19.4
20.8
7
44%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.4
16.6
15.6
7
88%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.5
5.4
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.6
20.2
0
2-4
56%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 19.2
12.6
0
2-3
60%
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.4
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 23.8
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.4
Buddy Boeheim
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.