Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Blazers	35%	113	113	115.3	98	105.2
	5	Nuggets	65%	119	122	125.8	97	92.3

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+10

-13

DEN

+16

-11

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.19 59.5%

DEN

1.20 59.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	36.9	14	44%	2	2	0	0	4	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-10	20%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	34.4	44	85%	3	8	0	0	2	4	0	3	14-14	100%	6-8	75%	6-12	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	33.4	18	56%	4	2	2	0	0	3	0	4	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	2-4	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	29.3	4	40%	6	4	0	0	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	29.2	6	33%	10	2	0	2	4	5	2	8	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%

Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	17.9	0	0%	5	2	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	17.6	13	93%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	16.4	6	75%	3	0	1	2	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	12.0	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	5.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	2.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	2.4	4	67%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	60%	35	21	3	4	13	24	5	30	24-25	96%	25-43	58%	13-40	33%

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11 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	36.9	14	44%	2	2	0	0	4	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-10	20%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	34.4	44	85%	3	8	0	0	2	4	0	3	14-14	100%	6-8	75%	6-12	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	33.4	18	56%	4	2	2	0	0	3	0	4	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	2-4	50%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	29.3	4	40%	6	4	0	0	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	29.2	6	33%	10	2	0	2	4	5	2	8	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%

Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	17.9	0	0%	5	2	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	17.6	13	93%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	16.4	6	75%	3	0	1	2	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	12.0	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	5.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	2.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	2.4	4	67%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	INACTIVE
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	60%	35	21	3	4	13	24	5	30	24-25	96%	25-43	58%	13-40	33%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	34.5	36	100%	12	10	1	1	4	2	2	10	9-10	90%	12-12	100%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	32.1	9	41%	1	3	3	1	0	4	0	1	5-5	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	31.6	11	55%	7	8	1	1	2	0	2	5	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	30.6	23	88%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	4-6	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	30.3	17	53%	5	7	2	1	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	29.3	12	60%	4	1	1	1	2	2	1	3	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	16.4	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	15.7	5	25%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	13.5	7	39%	6	0	0	0	0	1	6	0	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain/Hand Fracture
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	42	32	8	6	11	15	11	31	23-28	82%	33-56	59%	11-32	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.19 59.5%

DEN

1.20 59.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

79%

DEN

62%

Midrange

POR

20%

DEN

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

19.5

33%

49%

DEN

16.5

34%

52%

Free Throws

POR

96%

DEN

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	44	85%	22.0 / 26
J. Grant	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Simons	14	44%	7.0 / 16
S. Sharpe	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Nurkić	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Eubanks	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Hart	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Johnson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Little	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Watford	2	100%	1.0 / 1
G. Payton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	36	100%	18.0 / 18
M. Porter	23	88%	11.5 / 13
J. Murray	17	53%	8.5 / 16
B. Brown	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Gordon	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	41%	4.5 / 11
Z. Nnaji	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Hyland	5	25%	2.5 / 10
D. Reed	2	100%	1.0 / 1
V. Cancar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 5 117.1	POR 115.3 DEN 125.8 +10.5
Pace	18 98.7 21 98.5	POR 105.2 +12.9 DEN 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 13 14.7	POR 13.7 −1.9 DEN 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 1 57.3%	POR 53.6% DEN 56.3% +2.7%
TO %	20 13.8% 22 14.0%	POR 12.1% DEN 10.7% −1.4%
ORB %	24 22.4% 13 24.8%	POR 13.9% DEN 26.8% +12.9%
FTrt	6 28.9 19 25.9	POR 30.1 DEN 31.8 +1.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 2 66.3%	POR 55.3% DEN 72.7% +17.4%
STL %	24 6.8% 9 7.6%	POR 3.1% DEN 8.2% +5.1%
BLK %	17 8.4% 19 8.3%	POR 7.1% DEN 14.0% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 5 58.7%	POR 59.5% DEN 59.8% +0.3%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 3 66.5%	POR 78.6% +16.4% DEN 62.2%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 13 43.4%	POR 20.0% DEN 52.6% +32.6%
3P %	14 36.5% 4 37.9%	POR 32.5% DEN 34.4% +1.9%
FT %	8 79.6% 26 75.1%	POR 96.0% +13.9% DEN 82.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 2 39.0%	POR 33.7% DEN 42.0% +8.3%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 12 24.9%	POR 18.1% −3.5% DEN 21.6%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 21 36.1%	POR 48.2% +11.8% DEN 36.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.2
Points	113	122
Rebounds	35	42
Assists	21	32
Steals	3	8
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	24	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (5)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	31 (4)
Field Goals	38-83	44-88
At-the-Rim FG	22-28	23-37
Midrange FG	3-15	10-19
2-Point FG	25-43	33-56
3-Point FG	13-40	11-32
Free Throws	24-25	23-28
Fast Break Pts	10	16
2nd Chance Pts	11	11
Points in Paint	48	52
Pts off Turnovers	18	5
Bench Points	27	26
Biggest Lead	5	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg