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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers43%111106
18Thunder57%114126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 23.0
27.4
29.9
18
53%
5
7
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
5-12
2-5
42%
51%
2-4
50%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 20.6
22.5
27.6
13
60%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
50%
3-6
50%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
20.0
27.1
7
88%
3
0
1
1
6
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
61%
1-1
100%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 29.1
19.0
32.4
3
38%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
49%
1-4
25%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
18.3
24.7
9
46%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
1-3
33%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
25.1
25.2
10
71%
0
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
53%
0-0
-
Trevelin Queen
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
23.3
4.2
13
55%
9
1
1
0
3
3
4
5
2-2
100%
4-8
0-1
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Oshae Brissett
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
22.2
18.5
5
21%
6
3
1
1
1
1
4
2
2-2
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
50%
1-6
17%
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.6
22.2
20.9
11
46%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.0
17.4
13.6
11
64%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
3-6
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.3
16.4
4.1
4
67%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.5
6.3
3.9
2
21%
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
2-4
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
59%
0-0
-
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 22.8
14.1
0
2-4
58%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 35.9
4.0
0
0-1
52%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.9
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.7
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.8
34.2
30.9
11
51%
6
6
4
1
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
5-8
50%
60%
1-4
25%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.5
29.8
33.8
23
55%
3
6
3
1
0
2
1
2
8-9
89%
6-13
8-15
46%
55%
1-4
25%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.3
29.5
32.6
16
67%
6
11
1
1
1
5
3
3
0-0
-
8-10
7-12
80%
54%
0-2
0%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.8
28.1
31.2
22
70%
11
1
1
1
1
0
2
9
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
3-5
60%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
22.1
21.6
12
75%
5
10
1
1
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
58%
2-4
50%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
25.8
10.6
10
48%
1
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
5-7
1-2
71%
57%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.5
22.1
14.9
23
89%
4
1
2
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
52%
7-12
58%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.0
16.7
12.8
3
38%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
16.5
10.0
5
125%
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
1-1
100%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
9.6
12.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.6
5.6
15.3
1
17%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.9
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.7
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.2
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.1
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.