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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat51%10890
16Mavericks49%107115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
34.8
31.2
18
54%
11
4
0
1
0
2
2
9
4-6
67%
7-14
8-15
50%
57%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.3
32.6
25.9
7
51%
6
1
0
1
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
1-3
33%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.0
29.9
24.2
16
61%
5
1
0
1
0
4
0
5
4-5
80%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.3
26.0
29.1
12
62%
4
1
2
1
0
1
2
2
6-6
100%
3-7
6-11
43%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.8
20.9
26.4
5
64%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.7
28.2
29.2
20
83%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
7-9
3-5
78%
49%
2-3
67%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
27.1
28.5
10
46%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
1-6
17%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
23.7
30.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-5
0%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 22.5
11.0
15.2
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
57%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
5.8
13.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 33.4
2.7
0
0-1
59%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.6
0.8
0
0-0
41%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.7
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.6
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.6
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 23.9
37.8
35.2
34
62%
12
7
1
1
0
3
1
11
5-8
63%
7-16
8-13
44%
57%
5-8
63%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
33.1
19.9
6
60%
6
1
2
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
70%
0-1
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.8
30.7
34.5
19
65%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
51%
3-10
30%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 30.8
26.5
30.8
8
33%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
5-5
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.7
24.8
30.5
10
85%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
59%
2-3
67%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 31.8
28.3
31.6
15
107%
3
1
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
5-6
83%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.2
27.2
22.2
12
65%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
5-5
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
61%
1-3
33%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 30.2
9.6
11.8
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 20.5
8.3
10.4
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.5
5.0
10.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 27.2
4.4
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 22.5
4.4
2.2
5
87%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
1-1
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 35.0
3.7
0
1-1
62%
McKinley Wright IV
G · 5'11" 192 · 24.2
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 27.3
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.